Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24c232ba25bd9a6f14ddb3673b3ad9faf2085bb9eedc6fb27e745ae404829ec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 26c | 44,999$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.55 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 14,490$9,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 10,379$8,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 2,118$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.75 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,716$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.37 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 66c | 1,311$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.69 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 663.73$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.26 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 399$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 228.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 54c | 205$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 53c | 193$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 51c | 159.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 55c | 134.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 53c | 132.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 38c | 124.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 110.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 50c | 92.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 54c | 92.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6129backed No | 72c | 92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 54c | 73.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 48c | 73.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 27c | 59.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…6591backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 38c | 26.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 63c | 25.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed No | 67c | 19.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 60c | 18.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Watford FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.