TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6da8…d660

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST2556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$15.96
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.52
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31.88
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+99.7%+$38.41
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+62.1%+$15.57
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.72
Will Blackpool FC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.95
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$13.95
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.24
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$55.01
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+150%+$17.3
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+181.5%+$25.95
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$2.8
Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25.3%+$6.41
Burnley FC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+222.6%+$47.72
Arsenal vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32.64
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.72
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+34.8%+$23.31
Will Everton win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+268.2%+$60.26
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+258.5%+$41.79
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.92
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.36
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+41.5%+$5.06
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9INE (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+65.9%+$10.03
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Johnny Speeds (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+96.7%+$26.88
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+60.8%+$24.99
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+184.1%+$95.91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.5%+$26.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+46.7%+$26.02
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$38.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+48%+$30.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$91.82
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$169.02
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+129.1%+$26.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+50.2%+$18.9
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.78
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.49
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+34%+$41.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.9%+$32.1
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.47
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.9%+$12.27
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.93
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Passion UA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.67
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+65.4%+$8.93
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.56
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.86
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.15
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.4%+$23.28
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.93
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.59
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+60.4%+$27.45
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$137.02
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36.54
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+29.5%+$18.11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+156.6%+$19.6
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+50.1%+$9.9
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.83
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$42.62
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$29.59
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+112.9%+$23.34
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.08
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.86
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.47
LoL: Japan vs Team Liquid (BO1)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.76
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+146.6%+$55.82
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Team Liquid (BO1)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$56.41
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.7%+$29.23
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.8%+$18.73
LoL: Gen.G vs Vietnam (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$130.46
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+39.3%+$18.36
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+76.8%+$25.49
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+36.5%+$5.93
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+275.6%+$48.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+154.7%+$36.97
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.97
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+165%+$26.51
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.81
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+94%+$14.74
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$38.65
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$23.51
Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.9%+$8.92
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.53
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.77
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50.48
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.03
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.08
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34.26
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.49
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.6%+$18.4
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.07
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.15
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+195%+$20.59
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.3%+$35.79
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$54.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.04
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $120 December 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Yibing Wu vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.