TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Cloud9, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,283
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,283 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked BNK FEARX69c26,971$18,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,632.4532350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…fefbbacked Cloud931c25,000$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,250650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf45e…6460backed BNK FEARX69c25,000$17,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,250.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed BNK FEARX73c13,894$10,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,184.191060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed BNK FEARX41c12,285$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.643650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Cloud927c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.992231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Cloud932c8,145$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,560.461,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Cloud936c8,039$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,160.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Cloud931c8,000$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,550.7385746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cloud935c7,999$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.2385046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Cloud936c7,482$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,814.611,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cloud938c7,267$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.612,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed BNK FEARX69c7,246$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9328746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud940c6,000$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,588.661,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Cloud937c5,287$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.828438.1%32 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX55c5,223$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.951,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked BNK FEARX63c4,763$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.426048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2083…f02fbacked Cloud967c4,215$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Cloud931c3,800$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62224750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cloud932c3,132$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.1522547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed BNK FEARX73c2,735$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Cloud930c2,586$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.8312132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Cloud962c2,151$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.413366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed BNK FEARX2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2abb…aeccbacked Cloud970c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004250%21 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX63c2,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9975738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954d…8db6backed Cloud974c1,950$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.991850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed BNK FEARX44c1,938$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.684746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed BNK FEARX69c1,832$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.781,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7b…aefcbacked BNK FEARX69c1,740$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Cloud932c1,627$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.8234250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c02…78cebacked Cloud931c1,560$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x528e…83b6backed Cloud932c1,550$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…9af8backed BNK FEARX58c1,490$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Cloud957c1,479$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.419041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Cloud979c1,397$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.44928.6%14 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed BNK FEARX60c1,298$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.539054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Cloud931c1,277$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.1214338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cloud934c1,184$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.923,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…4227backed Cloud931c1,075$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked BNK FEARX70c1,070$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.2328855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked BNK FEARX70c1,007$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70082260.9%501 W · 321 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed BNK FEARX65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked BNK FEARX69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c4…733ebacked BNK FEARX2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6058…da96backed Cloud928c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x638f…388ebacked BNK FEARX72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Cloud930c999.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9729236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Cloud941c937.09$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.241752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd98a…8d9abacked BNK FEARX69c934$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked BNK FEARX8c899.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed BNK FEARX57c882.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a44…c9e1backed BNK FEARX69c859$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.71450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Cloud936c852.12$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7421060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked BNK FEARX4c841.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa995…1be0backed BNK FEARX36c830.11$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.846256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Cloud927c818$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.1424529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Cloud929c809.96$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.0729536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed BNK FEARX70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56012055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3754…737ebacked BNK FEARX68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed BNK FEARX51c780.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40044042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud928c752.5$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.981,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7442…871fbacked BNK FEARX68c750$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…4678backed Cloud931c737$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1767…cf93backed Cloud961c714$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Cloud934c713.52$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.81850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1da7…2e56backed BNK FEARX69c708.57$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.767663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BNK FEARX69c696$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.361,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x926f…0312backed Cloud931c694$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Cloud958c676.82$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.122360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7654…fa0fbacked BNK FEARX74c668.91$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Cloud932c666$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.5254129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Cloud931c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1650845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Cloud947c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.34755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da2…0ca7backed BNK FEARX69c626$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked BNK FEARX26c604.36$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15913543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe386…bfa5backed Cloud931c598$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed BNK FEARX69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Cloud963c569.99$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.944847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00dd…7faabacked Cloud931c567$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+221.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BNK FEARX69c560.71$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.751,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x722c…1011backed Cloud951c550$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.812035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…93d7backed BNK FEARX69c541.16$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.46467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked BNK FEARX42c540.48$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22710560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked BNK FEARX69c535.3$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3712740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed BNK FEARX14c531.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.247889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd9…6567backed Cloud931c522$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+174.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Cloud929c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35527452.2%143 W · 131 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked BNK FEARX53c500$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647544%33 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec02…3dd1backed BNK FEARX63c486.98$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6914049.3%69 W · 71 L-22.3wins-0.16per pick65cpaid-29%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9ebf…ff4abacked BNK FEARX41c468.2$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.047153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7582…f6b2backed BNK FEARX69c453$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BNK FEARX68c438.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Cloud937c434.09$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.652,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9160…0492backed BNK FEARX69c425$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Cloud948c413.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4721848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Cloud925c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30011637.1%43 W · 73 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed BNK FEARX52c399.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed BNK FEARX66c398.36$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6729856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Cloud931c387.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.