TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa188…3fcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
736
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT36356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 363 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.82
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.74
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+48.2%+$274.71
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.17
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$205.96
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.4
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$14.22
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.02
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.74
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+53.7%+$7.08
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.41
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.63
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$88.65
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$216.21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+53.7%+$360.75
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.28
Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32.49
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.01
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$33.16
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.46
Showing 25 of 363 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.49
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.93
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.76
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$29.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.62
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.05
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$22.69
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.34
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.34
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$54
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.33
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$57.52
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$18.94
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.65
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$16.36
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$52.47
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$57.1
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.83
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$51.58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+65.8%+$44.41
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.1%+$21.62
Dota 2: Passion UA vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$37.72
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+30.7%+$5.21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+30.2%+$33.22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+26.3%+$37.45
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.4%+$52.28
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50.99
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$49.89
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$39.42
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Execration (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$430.92
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$749.77
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+39.5%+$407.8
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$171.59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.1%+$122.16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$116.29
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$154.49
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+51.3%+$92.67
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$32.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$140.71
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$34.55
Islanders vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.17
Kraken vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.45
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$61.86
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Devils vs. Kingsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70.8
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.62
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$31.06
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$34.51
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$102.67
Sweden vs. USAbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+156.1%+$355.44
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22.54
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.17
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50.86
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$52.53
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$35.46
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$42.98
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+92.3%+$17.04
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+37.9%+$8.13
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+60.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$14.42
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.69
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$108.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$106.03
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$15.94
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$110.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$52.89
Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55.62
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO1)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+376.2%+$318.75
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Fluxo (BO1)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+150%+$75.89
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38.67
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO5)backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$40.29
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs K27 (BO3)backed K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.4%+$67.51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+57.9%+$121.64
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.08
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+208%+$113.02
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.62
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+31.3%+$133.43
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$31.99
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Elon tweet 925-949 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.21
Will Elon tweet 875-899 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$41.62
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$460.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.85
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$245.16
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$140.17
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$58.16
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$180.65
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Arizona Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Michigan Wolverines vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$50.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid+46.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$142
Will Wolves vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ipswich vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.89
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+984.4%+$373.1
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$119.19
Will Everton win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$373.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$13.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$42.95
Will Angers SCO vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$25.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+27%+$3.46
Texas A&M vs. USCbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Valorant: DRX vs SLT - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+378.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+378.5%+$87.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Marcos Gironbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.