TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Team Yandex32c6,435$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.22133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Team Falcons69c6,221$4,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex26c5,043$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.732,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Yandex33c4,704$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.1914840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex31c3,953$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.9689440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons67c3,900$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27480443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Team Yandex32c3,535$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.0917950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex31c3,425$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.0685851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x471d…19cfbacked Team Falcons60c3,025$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex40c2,998$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.0745139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons68c2,746$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.6819147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Team Yandex32c2,482$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.672020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons69c2,320$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.419148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Team Falcons68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8816149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd580…a0d5backed Team Falcons71c2,123$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex32c2,080$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67221847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons66c1,918$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.8520159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Team Yandex33c1,614$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.864438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons67c1,529$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4816050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Yandex30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Team Falcons72c1,439$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.84967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Yandex28c1,075$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2954445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Team Yandex31c1,051$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.415137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Yandex27c1,049$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9662841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed Team Yandex35c899.98$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons67c889.17$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.411557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Falcons69c864.97$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8725348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons68c863.32$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2613346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Team Yandex37c825$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Falcons68c794.12$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1211253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Falcons70c788.64$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.899054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Falcons69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6446451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46c6…ba57backed Team Yandex7c702.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Falcons71c670.9$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.723348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Yandex3c640$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.614121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe760…6866backed Team Yandex28c569.61$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde9…51d7backed Team Yandex36c559.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.832326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Yandex30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Team Falcons68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Yandex31c491.87$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2414251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons63c430$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5136442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Team Yandex24c424.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.114537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Team Falcons72c416.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1312868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex25c403.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10112147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons75c400.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6723465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Team Yandex30c399.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons65c399.78$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9280544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed Team Falcons67c395.63$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.636943.5%30 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked Team Falcons69c385.96$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.656046.7%28 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Team Falcons70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.144573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Team Falcons70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.145078%39 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked Team Falcons65c345.59$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.599544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons67c334.89$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.561,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Team Falcons65c324.15$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9210141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Team Falcons70c306.17$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8511551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Team Falcons67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Team Falcons68c294.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.533860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Team Falcons69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.866175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Team Yandex35c286.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8f…092ebacked Team Falcons70c277.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons66c275$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.531545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons67c263.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.864149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6091356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Team Yandex33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.757047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Yandex34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6834154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex27c196.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0539936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex33c195$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3557455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Falcons69c189.69$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9113450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex28c179.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3980742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex26c171.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.586949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x020b…ddfabacked Team Yandex39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Falcons61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked Team Falcons69c166.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.672770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e08…3d14backed Team Falcons62c162.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.583855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc197…6cd9backed Team Falcons66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex22c155$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4559250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Team Falcons71c154.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.962842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Team Falcons69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.54465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Team Falcons68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.066068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Team Falcons68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0622453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9250…c0cbbacked Team Falcons70c142$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Team Yandex29c141.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.171827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Team Yandex29c128.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.394438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed Team Falcons67c119.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5635…3534backed Team Falcons69c116.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.062491.7%22 W · 2 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick68cpaid+37.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9441248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed Team Yandex30c111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Team Falcons70c101.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.597244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f6…ba6bbacked Team Falcons71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Team Yandex39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Team Falcons69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x434f…e038backed Team Yandex29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Falcons70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013456%75 W · 59 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Team Yandex28c99.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9914948.3%72 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Falcons70c91.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.439750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c6…a111backed Team Falcons70c88.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.573275%24 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70fb…9ce2backed Team Yandex35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1756…8e1fbacked Team Falcons74c80.23$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…7954backed Team Falcons68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.