TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5635…3534

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 63 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2491.7%22 W · 2 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick68cpaid+37.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.11
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$29.03
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stagebacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$28.67
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$114.28
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.97
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.68
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.7%+$20.21
Dota 2: Heroic vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+91.2%+$81.14
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.92
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Execration (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+78.6%+$28.61
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$13.71
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$36.06
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.96
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$9.03
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$9.79
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.23
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$54.65
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.8%+$30.45
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.7
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$42.07
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.87
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.86
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$61.04
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$48.08
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.72
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$236.37
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$191.26
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$46.48
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$44.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$24.71
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+51.5%+$16.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.9
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$12.94
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$101.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$100.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$69.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$238.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.