Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa4317144a2c660397229697b416dec7ce59f69b207e658ea596479f4790e3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed Execration | 39c | 13,035$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.67 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed MOUZ | 80c | 7,266$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 63c | 4,820$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.86 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Execration | 21c | 4,396$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.21 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Execration | 31c | 4,202$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.46 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Execration | 22c | 4,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Execration | 21c | 3,396$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.06 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ | 78c | 3,160$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.7 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed MOUZ | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Execration | 21c | 2,544$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.2 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Execration | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Execration | 21c | 2,400$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Execration | 18c | 2,365$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Execration | 36c | 2,300$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed MOUZ | 77c | 2,276$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Execration | 19c | 2,162$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.84 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Execration | 21c | 2,031$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.64 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Execration | 23c | 2,006$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.4 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Execration | 25c | 1,974$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ | 78c | 1,972$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.84 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 76c | 1,700$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed MOUZ | 77c | 1,558$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Execration | 32c | 1,543$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.82 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Execration | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 76c | 1,465$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.56 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,452$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…de25backed MOUZ | 78c | 1,250$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked MOUZ | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…c33ebacked Execration | 23c | 1,247$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ | 79c | 1,231$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Execration | 25c | 1,200$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.36 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ | 79c | 1,154$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Execration | 30c | 1,098$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.09 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24c…8f5bbacked Execration | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed MOUZ | 78c | 999.7$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Execration | 22c | 997.64$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.48 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Execration | 2c | 993.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MOUZ | 75c | 970$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed MOUZ | 79c | 850$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 63c | 833.51$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.32 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Execration | 21c | 774.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed MOUZ | 72c | 737.97$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 79c | 721.24$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed MOUZ | 79c | 720$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8808…b2c4backed Execration | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked MOUZ | 78c | 663.15$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Execration | 28c | 652.97$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed MOUZ | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Execration | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Execration | 22c | 593.8$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Execration | 27c | 589.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 74c | 539.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…e9c3backed Execration | 23c | 513$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed MOUZ | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…092ebacked MOUZ | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Execration | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed MOUZ | 76c | 473.73$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…449fbacked Execration | 4c | 457.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Execration | 21c | 451.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Execration | 20c | 435.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Execration | 30c | 433.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Execration | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Execration | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Execration | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Execration | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Execration | 26c | 376.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed MOUZ | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Execration | 37c | 339.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Execration | 17c | 310.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed MOUZ | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked MOUZ | 69c | 289.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ | 75c | 265.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…6b19backed MOUZ | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…3e03backed MOUZ | 77c | 258$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed MOUZ | 78c | 257$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…9e13backed MOUZ | 77c | 255$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ | 69c | 253.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MOUZ | 79c | 251.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Execration | 30c | 244$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Execration | 22c | 242.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed MOUZ | 78c | 241.67$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Execration | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed MOUZ | 79c | 227.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ | 63c | 212.7$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked MOUZ | 79c | 210.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Execration | 16c | 210$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked MOUZ | 78c | 204.21$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed MOUZ | 79c | 203.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked MOUZ | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Execration | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Execration | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked MOUZ | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Execration | 16c | 195.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MOUZ | 79c | 194.58$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked MOUZ | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Execration | 19c | 177.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Execration | 24c | 171$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Execration | 29c | 165.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.