TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe24c…8f5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.8
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.2
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$81
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$126
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+400%+$46.4
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.66
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
T20 World Cup: Scotland vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$30
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+1,900%+$475
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$73
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+551.2%+$316
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$82.14
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$39.1
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1520%3 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Jazz vs. Knicksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$52.7
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$465
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+669.2%+$130.49
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$32
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-35.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+150%+$43.8
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$199
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+100%+$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$19.8
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.