TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Jazz, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$762,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$717,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $762,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz11c103,653$11,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,531.322,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz11c31,947$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz11c30,709$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.8747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz11c30,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz10c29,767$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.71,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72c…a633backed Jazz6c26,700$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5019953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Jazz12c22,849$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.5632827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz11c20,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ba…8a09backed Jazz11c15,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6504223.8%10 W · 32 L-8.2wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-48.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7488…a277backed Jazz11c14,095$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz1c10,784$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.221,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz11c10,550$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Jazz11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Jazz11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9818045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9727424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Jazz11c8,941$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.5112541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8f…70eabacked Jazz5c8,475$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Jazz12c8,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz11c8,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.961,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz11c7,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85044648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x415d…e8b8backed Jazz1c6,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Jazz0c6,452$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Jazz12c6,390$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.182924.1%7 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a9…b165backed Jazz8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz2c5,300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Jazz8c5,055$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz12c5,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58050838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Jazz1c5,000$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.830619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz10c4,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Jazz11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44014853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz1c3,403$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.657211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c20…7d4fbacked Jazz17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc085…5326backed Jazz18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Jazz10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf886…c177backed Jazz11c2,697$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.691070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c7b…bc12backed Jazz11c2,532$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Jazz11c2,373$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618438.1%32 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz0c2,335$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz15c2,200$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3271,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fda…f4ebbacked Jazz2c2,175$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.084729.8%14 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jazz13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Jazz13c2,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26510030%30 W · 70 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Jazz11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked Jazz2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820839.4%82 W · 126 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jazz11c1,964$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21648938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Jazz5c1,964$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9782440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Jazz11c1,800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19861740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Jazz11c1,700$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18723348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Jazz18c1,600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.95837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Jazz2c1,514$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0835…7ac0backed Jazz11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz4c1,313$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Jazz15c1,300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1957943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Jazz4c1,300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4950338.4%193 W · 310 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Jazz1c1,200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f8…3c9fbacked Jazz10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206826.5%18 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c7c…ba75backed Jazz3c1,100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321250%6 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Jazz12c1,067$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12813345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Jazz1c1,050$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.540127.2%109 W · 292 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Jazz11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jazz11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24c…8f5bbacked Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101520%3 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x728f…b55dbacked Jazz2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f1…c192backed Jazz11c999.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-83.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Jazz11c999.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9931538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Jazz15c999.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.921243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5916…f785backed Jazz11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d7…36fbbacked Jazz11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002520%5 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Jazz11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa294…ebd7backed Jazz11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed Jazz11c908.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.982343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jazz12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd35…66c2backed Jazz3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718317.5%32 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40df…3ad2backed Jazz11c849.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked Jazz12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022041.4%91 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Jazz12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…2723backed Jazz3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512633.3%42 W · 84 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Jazz11c818$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9853539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz11c800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8838434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Jazz6c792.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.646826.5%124 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c9…1ed5backed Jazz5c762.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Jazz12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907030%21 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a60…a571backed Jazz12c750$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.56835.3%24 W · 44 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40c…ddc3backed Jazz12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Jazz12c691.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8316740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Jazz3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012531.2%39 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x829f…ccfdbacked Jazz2c625$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017353.8%93 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jazz14c600$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.560834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Jazz11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6634447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Jazz11c571$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76a3…5249backed Jazz11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014441%59 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2a…51b0backed Jazz11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Jazz12c510$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.256348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Jazz11c509.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565139.2%20 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+63.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ec9…cdd9backed Jazz12c500.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.