TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac01…2d77

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10030%30 W · 70 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.91
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$17.64
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.99
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$273
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.3
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+204.6%+$40.3
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+334.8%+$38.5
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+231.1%+$34.9
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.15
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+65.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+438.6%+$114.01
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+445.5%+$245
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.45
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+313.2%+$378.99
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+338.6%+$386
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39.41
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+455.6%+$246
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$169.16
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$65.48
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+614.3%+$859.99
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+334.8%+$385
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+244.8%+$709.99
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+54.9%+$39
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.58
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.2
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.5
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+270.4%+$29.2
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Lithuania win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.73
Will Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Germany vs. Slovakia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+376.2%+$90.29
Will Armenia win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$74.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2015%3 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+225.4%+$76.19
Central Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$57
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Troy vs. James Madisonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Notre Dame vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+566.7%+$850
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Georgia vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Western Kentucky vs. LSUbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rutgers vs. Ohio Statebacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Miami vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Louisville vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$73.99
Charlotte 49ers vs. Georgiabacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Florida State vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+227.5%+$284.77
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57.9%+$54.28
Will Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.3%+$43
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+97%+$64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24.96
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$66.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$6.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+55.2%+$24.9
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$113.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.