NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf7923cc9319e8aa600cfd8ca845055cfc7c0c6e3c7040961798686bddba0afc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Kings, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,582,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,570,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,582,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…1795backed Kings | 19c | 200,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,999.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings | 18c | 135,971$24,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,534.8 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Kings | 17c | 100,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Kings | 19c | 98,000$18,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,619.98 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 71,630$54,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,759.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Kings | 17c | 50,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.93 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Kings | 17c | 45,141$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,674 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 18c | 36,771$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Kings | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Kings | 17c | 25,006$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,251.02 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Kings | 16c | 23,005$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.24 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Kings | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Cavaliers | 75c | 19,162$14,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.13 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 17c | 17,519$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.23 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kings | 20c | 16,105$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 18c | 13,798$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 21c | 11,424$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.14 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 24c | 11,082$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.02 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Kings | 19c | 10,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings | 49c | 10,204$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.1 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Kings | 2c | 10,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Kings | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 80c | 9,703$7,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 14c | 9,624$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.31 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 18c | 8,662$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.94 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Kings | 19c | 8,574$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.65 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Kings | 24c | 8,100$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.16 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Kings | 17c | 7,499$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.82 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 12c | 7,319$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.3 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Kings | 17c | 5,854$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 17c | 5,800$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Kings | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…4c8cbacked Kings | 18c | 5,531$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings | 19c | 5,452$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Kings | 18c | 5,400$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Cavaliers | 80c | 5,222$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.3 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…fe44backed Kings | 18c | 5,200$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kings | 12c | 5,186$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.15 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 18c | 5,050$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kings | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Kings | 21c | 4,843$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Kings | 22c | 4,558$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Kings | 19c | 4,200$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 1c | 4,035$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Kings | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…add7backed Kings | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Kings | 20c | 3,689$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.79 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Kings | 27c | 3,626$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.65 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…1032backed Kings | 19c | 3,421$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 23c | 3,418$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.99 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Kings | 23c | 3,219$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.68 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Kings | 32c | 3,143$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.05 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 3,050$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.08 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Kings | 20c | 3,010$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.33 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Kings | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 83 | 71.1%59 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Kings | 10c | 3,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.9 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 23c | 2,965$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.28 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Kings | 9c | 2,923$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Kings | 23c | 2,751$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.24 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Cavaliers | 79c | 2,742$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Kings | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Kings | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,473$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.76 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Kings | 44c | 2,260$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Kings | 20c | 2,192$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.67 | 183 | 32.2%59 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 18c | 2,164$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 19c | 2,156$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.69 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Kings | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…420abacked Kings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Kings | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653d…b3a7backed Kings | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…f3c7backed Kings | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Kings | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Kings | 11c | 1,866$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 10c | 1,774$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kings | 25c | 1,733$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.17 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 1,599$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 17c | 1,577$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.09 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…fb3fbacked Kings | 12c | 1,516$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Kings | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Kings | 23c | 1,473$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.22 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings | 18c | 1,437$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Kings | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,391$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.56 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…bf5abacked Kings | 24c | 1,232$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kings | 16c | 1,225$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5251…d260backed Kings | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…4cc5backed Kings | 20c | 1,165$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,141$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 18c | 1,136$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Kings | 20c | 1,131$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Kings | 20c | 1,125$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Kings | 20c | 1,110$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.4 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Kings | 27c | 1,105$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Kings | 18c | 1,094$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Cavaliersthis page
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Kings vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.