TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab26…0c0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
366
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 306 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,650.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$356
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.6
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.5
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.05
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.47
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.89
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.19
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$2,305.94
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,148.83
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100.17
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$99.42
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$113.27
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$142.32
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$266
Showing 25 of 306 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+74.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Mercury vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Mystics vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Aces vs Lynxbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.67
Sun vs Feverbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Dream vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Sparks vs Acesbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+400%+$200.05
WNBA: Will Angel Reese miss her first shot vs. Liberty?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+130.3%+$129
Sky vs Libertybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Fever vs Dreambacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Valkyries vs Sparksbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$270
Storm vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.06
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$430
Dream vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+400%+$400
Mystics vs Feverbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$425
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$403
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.75
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.5
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.16
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,111.19
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$27.87
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+203%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+809.1%+$445
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$22.78
Georgia vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,790Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+65.4%+$1,823.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$29.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$106
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.