MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc11ebe3c4ddb1e02609e78a611c4718a9ef553d471f1523632ecbdf459a20b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Athletics | 40c | 247,158$99,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,513.33 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Astros | 60c | 215,045$128,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,615.32 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 36c | 17,293$6,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.54 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Astros | 63c | 15,881$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880.95 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Astros | 60c | 7,470$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Astros | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Astros | 62c | 5,750$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.22 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 60c | 4,797$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.67 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 69c | 4,681$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.96 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 24c | 4,159$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.08 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Athletics | 37c | 3,729$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.75 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Astros | 60c | 3,612$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.99 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 33c | 3,386$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.78 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 60c | 3,101$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.87 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 61c | 2,841$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.18 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Astros | 63c | 2,719$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.08 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Astros | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 25c | 2,495$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 71c | 2,405$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.31 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Astros | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 41c | 1,996$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.36 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 59c | 1,892$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.88 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 1c | 1,753$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Astros | 56c | 1,260$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.59 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 34c | 1,138$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.95 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 67c | 1,118$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.35 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 59c | 1,103$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Astros | 55c | 1,098$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 31c | 1,084$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.61 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Athletics | 39c | 1,016$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.63 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 39c | 999.33$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.74 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Astros | 61c | 840$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Athletics | 50c | 799.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 33c | 770.86$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.25 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 48c | 764.58$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.58 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 58c | 656.82$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.72 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 38c | 651.37$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Athletics | 40c | 599.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 39c | 541.83$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Astros | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Astros | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 26c | 382.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Athletics | 18c | 353.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 59c | 336.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 37c | 299.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros | 62c | 290.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Athletics | 42c | 279.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 39c | 279$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 73c | 273.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 72c | 255.31$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Athletics | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Astros | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Astros | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Astros | 63c | 228.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…adb7backed Athletics | 41c | 219.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 61c | 209.09$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…8722backed Astros | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 39c | 199.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…8a1dbacked Athletics | 41c | 198.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…487dbacked Astros | 60c | 191.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 60c | 191$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…fcb3backed Athletics | 5c | 189.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Athletics | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Astros | 60c | 179.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Astros | 57c | 179.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…da50backed Athletics | 41c | 162.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…fe5fbacked Athletics | 41c | 152.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Astros | 59c | 151.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Astros | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Astros | 60c | 148.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Athletics | 41c | 137.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Astros | 60c | 135.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…59a7backed Astros | 60c | 127.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 41c | 103.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Astros | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 33c | 101.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Astros | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Athletics | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Astros | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Astros | 59c | 99.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Athletics | 43c | 98.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Astros | 59c | 90.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…6730backed Athletics | 41c | 90.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed Athletics | 41c | 83.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…2972backed Astros | 60c | 81.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Astros | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e3adbacked Astros | 60c | 77.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Astros | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Astros | 61c | 73.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.