TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1e0…8913

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT7758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,410
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,625
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,003.33
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,005
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,003.33
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,565
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,011.29
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$978.13
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$984.38
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$995.79
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$802.25
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$979.63
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,525
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,735Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$975.94
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,000
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,132.84
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,360
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,700
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,119.38
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,330
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$981.82
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,600
Mariners vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$961.36
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5971.2%42 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,770
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$999.03
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,483.52
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,538.15
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$981.58
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$999.09
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$943.47
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$1,130
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,116.67
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$990.98
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,125
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$985
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$985
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$824.24
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$994.18
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$959.02
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,010
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$982.14
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$733.33
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,825
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,110
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$994.29
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$745.8
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$945
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST4957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$2,176.43
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$990
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$950
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,240
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$988.78
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$910
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$985
Spread: Vikings (-10.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,860
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$945
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,755
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$945
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$992.54
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$1,007.63
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,675
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$4,515
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.5%+$980.77
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,995
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$1,000.71
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,045
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,380
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$1,008.1
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$984.34
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,605Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$1,115.34
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,008.33
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$979.16
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.59
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$986.81
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$985
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$941.39
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,835
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,680
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$980.65
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$988.78
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,010
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,476.89
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$981.82
Kraken vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$996.92
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,405
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,110
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$725
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,060
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$976.64
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,059.2
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,781Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$977.16
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$971.37
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,073.11
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$989.84
Miami vs. Ole Miss: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,002.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,840
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.