NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae921c24fc0e0463e3009f8ec68cb827ab192ff4234796fbed65778946c4bb4

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Mavericks
Resolved: Jan 29, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,921,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,022,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,921,371 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 766 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Mavericks	26c	259,474$68,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,203.91	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mavericks	30c	192,790$58,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,441.74	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	73c	124,744$91,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,681.01	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Mavericks	27c	122,808$33,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,158.1	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks	28c	88,730$24,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,744.52	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves	73c	71,143$51,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,247.52	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks	28c	68,603$19,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,208.71	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Timberwolves	74c	60,000$44,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,599.94	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	70c	59,759$42,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,709.83	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves	73c	53,281$38,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,385.87	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves	72c	47,655$34,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,143.72	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves	69c	46,864$32,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,527.86	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks	5c	46,271$2,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,288.02	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Mavericks	28c	33,947$9,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,644.58	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves	73c	31,981$23,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,645.46	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65e3…76bdbacked Timberwolves	73c	30,000$21,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,099.99	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves	71c	26,680$18,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,804	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Timberwolves	68c	25,161$17,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,051.61	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks	0c	24,473$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Timberwolves	72c	22,222$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,222.16	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	71c	22,002$15,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,302.76	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Timberwolves	69c	20,698$14,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,489.55	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks	25c	20,366$5,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,151.4	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	75c	19,712$14,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,922.43	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves	73c	18,071$13,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,967.18	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves	70c	15,562$10,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,668.62	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Timberwolves	75c	15,534$11,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,935.77	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves	74c	15,003$11,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,884.25	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	70c	14,698$10,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,364.52	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7837…40f1backed Timberwolves	73c	14,213$10,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,796.22	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves	72c	13,266$9,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,685.02	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Timberwolves	71c	12,902$9,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,741.71	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Timberwolves	74c	12,709$9,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,304.46	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves	74c	11,728$8,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,049.29	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85e9…5e96backed Mavericks	31c	11,700$3,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,677	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd68…90efbacked Timberwolves	69c	11,700$8,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,677	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	74c	10,700$7,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,779.37	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	74c	10,442$7,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,743.61	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks	27c	10,438$2,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,785.59	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Timberwolves	71c	10,052$7,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,915.11	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Mavericks	27c	10,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Timberwolves	72c	10,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Timberwolves	71c	10,000$7,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,900	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Mavericks	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Mavericks	31c	9,980$3,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,093.3	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Timberwolves	69c	9,979$6,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,093.53	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves	70c	9,640$6,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,891.89	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks	0c	9,070$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Timberwolves	70c	8,881$6,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,664.41	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Mavericks	31c	8,076$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	5c	7,937$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.63	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Mavericks	26c	7,692$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves	74c	7,105$5,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,847.26	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Mavericks	27c	7,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mavericks	31c	6,801$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Timberwolves	70c	6,749$4,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,993.71	133	57.9%77 W · 56 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84e…88a3backed Timberwolves	69c	6,700$4,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,077	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Timberwolves	77c	6,630$5,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,517.75	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Mavericks	23c	6,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	91	17.6%16 W · 75 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks	0c	5,994$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.11	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves	71c	5,902$4,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,716.04	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Timberwolves	69c	5,900$4,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,827.97	208	47.6%99 W · 109 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bab…cf38backed Timberwolves	69c	5,521$3,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,719.85	98	59.2%58 W · 40 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e4…9133backed Mavericks	31c	5,516$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Timberwolves	73c	5,000$3,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Mavericks	30c	4,967$1,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475.53	175	46.3%81 W · 94 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks	1c	4,884$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.81	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Mavericks	27c	4,860$1,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.82	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Timberwolves	74c	4,860$3,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.6	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves	76c	4,520$3,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.55	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Timberwolves	75c	4,467$3,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,116.67	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x407d…8db6backed Mavericks	31c	4,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Timberwolves	80c	3,950$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.03	247	52.6%130 W · 117 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks	2c	3,858$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.02	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks	27c	3,704$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	337	35.3%119 W · 218 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Mavericks	27c	3,704$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Mavericks	24c	3,703$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.31	458	38%174 W · 284 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Mavericks	26c	3,620$944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$943.87	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks	29c	3,550$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Mavericks	29c	3,500$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks	28c	3,500$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.98	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Mavericks	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks	8c	3,086$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.78	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves	68c	3,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks	31c	3,000$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Timberwolves	71c	2,952$2,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.91	232	56.9%132 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Timberwolves	71c	2,851$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.59	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Timberwolves	75c	2,767$2,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.67	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Timberwolves	75c	2,541$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.39	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks	31c	2,517$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.38	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…163abacked Timberwolves	70c	2,505$1,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.39	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	66cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Mavericks	29c	2,500$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks	26c	2,500$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks	6c	2,493$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.88	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Mavericks	27c	2,481$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.93	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Timberwolves	72c	2,400$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves	71c	2,301$1,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.01	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Mavericks	33c	2,189$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.23	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves	70c	2,166$1,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.81	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mavericks	32c	2,152$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.29	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericksthis page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 31.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 20.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event