TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7aa8…56db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,645
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 61 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1,058 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$272.86
UC Davis Aggies vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.94
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+177.3%+$1,435.33
South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigersbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.2%+$413.44
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. New Mexico State Aggiesbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+101%+$1,689.57
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$212.09
Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.5%+$617.89
CSUN Matadors vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$730.09
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$305.26
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$759.19
Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.5%+$365.3
Grambling State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+125.8%+$820.78
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$59.23
Coppin State Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47%+$363.86
Howard Bison vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,603Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.1%+$979.89
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$85
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67.56
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+57.8%+$320.6
Delaware State Hornets vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawksbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.2%+$202.01
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+64.4%+$120.43
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,324.9
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.1%+$186.57
Bucknell Bison vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.9%+$2,374.66
Tulane Green Wave vs. Temple Owlsbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$744.89
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Colgate Raidersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.4%+$698.21
Showing 25 of 1,058 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST48956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 489 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28,138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+34.7%+$9,752.8
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.8%+$2,808.73
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,376.93
1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$731.52
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 123.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+105.4%+$660.75
Lakers vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.1%+$80.2
Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+148.9%+$45.61
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,549.12
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+59.9%+$6,098.79
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+157.5%+$8,520.82
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,068.74
Pistons vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+43.1%+$57.76
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.14
Bulls vs. Suns: 1H O/U 108.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$100
Bulls vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+27.9%+$47.19
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$537.03
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+83.5%+$1,092.75
Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$15.24
Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+83.3%+$66.39
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$199
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.34
Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$430.3
Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+48.9%+$31.6
1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Showing 25 of 489 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,724Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.7%+$2,842.45
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6,300
Will Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60.85
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$259.37
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,680
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,800
Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,162.04
AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,777Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,775.3
Fulham FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,652Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100.5%+$2,664.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$2,100
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$3,200
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,150
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,650
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,750
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+141.8%+$8,794.06
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,251Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,264.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.88
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$985.8
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.8%+$86.36
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.33
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,800
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$390.82
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,640
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$7,800
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,503.45
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.28
FC Schalke 04 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,306.92
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,553.91
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.35
SC Preußen Münster vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,050.78
SC Preußen Münster vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$185.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$378.69
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$268.57
Will Hertha BSC vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$285
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+67%+$481.25
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$64.61
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$879.64
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$342.87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$112.37
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,900
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,150
FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,750
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$381.86
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+118.3%+$2,032.2
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+146.9%+$5,950
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,650
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,700
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,700
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,960
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$434.14
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,100
CD Castellón vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$208.52
CD Castellón vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$155.22
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,550
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,918.24
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34.8%+$110.58
SD Eibar vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$157.15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156.95
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$50
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$99.77
Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$53.35
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,400
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,395.88
Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.3%+$990
Levante UD vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,700
CA Osasuna vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,014.62
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$573.24
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,970Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$2,030
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,682Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.9%+$1,176.18
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$731.26
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,920
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,430
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.2%+$159.87
Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.