Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
CSUN Matadors vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be123bc8a09aaf6e628b796d4b2909dee6df1da39e81d9feb59b88acf0ec732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof CSUN Matadors, Bakersfield Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed CSUN Matadors | 66c | 4,630$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.03 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 25c | 3,636$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.64 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed CSUN Matadors | 71c | 3,240$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.2 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 40c | 2,947$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 36c | 2,031$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.09 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 25c | 1,929$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.66 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed CSUN Matadors | 67c | 1,361$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.36 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked CSUN Matadors | 77c | 685.45$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked CSUN Matadors | 77c | 645.33$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 34c | 610.25$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 23c | 541.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CSUN Matadors | 64c | 479.35$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.19 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSUN Matadors | 76c | 442.91$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked CSUN Matadors | 64c | 426.23$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 23c | 423$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 23c | 411.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked CSUN Matadors | 75c | 339.65$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked CSUN Matadors | 65c | 313$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed CSUN Matadors | 75c | 282.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 36c | 261.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 33c | 252.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked CSUN Matadors | 77c | 228.37$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked CSUN Matadors | 64c | 228.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed CSUN Matadors | 77c | 198.76$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed CSUN Matadors | 78c | 158.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 11c | 138.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed CSUN Matadors | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 34c | 122.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed CSUN Matadors | 74c | 107.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 24c | 99.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed CSUN Matadors | 77c | 88.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 24c | 87.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked CSUN Matadors | 73c | 65.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 23c | 63.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 30c | 63.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CSUN Matadors | 77c | 60.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed CSUN Matadors | 62c | 53.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…35ccbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 27c | 40.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…f639backed CSUN Matadors | 74c | 39.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 35c | 39.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed CSUN Matadors | 78c | 29.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked CSUN Matadors | 73c | 26.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2dd6backed CSUN Matadors | 73c | 23.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked CSUN Matadors | 64c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked CSUN Matadors | 73c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed CSUN Matadors | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…1e9bbacked CSUN Matadors | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSUN Matadors vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersthis page
- CSUN Matadors vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: CSUN Matadors (-7.5)Bakersfield Roadrunners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.