TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff73…35cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT5650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.11
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$3.69
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.06
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$35.53
Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$11.33
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.82
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+180%+$30.95
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$116.7
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$10.64
Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44%+$5.16
LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$16.43
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. La Salle Explorersbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$13.82
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.57
Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$18.16
Alcorn State Braves vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$14.71
Houston Christian Huskies vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39%+$9.14
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+338.4%+$60
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.61
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.91
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.57
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.01
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.6
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+208.9%+$370.94
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+228%+$42.88
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.61
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$91.36
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.43
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$12.31
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.54
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$26.73
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.39
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.84
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.52
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.31
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$80.87
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+229.2%+$88.85
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.84
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.75
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.71
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$46.05
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.26
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$61.48
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.91
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.4
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.42
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.25
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$51.37
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$8.23
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$29.09
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.46
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+41.9%+$17.59
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$17.24
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.85
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.23
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.68
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$12.65
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$364.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$40.66
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.22
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$472.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$17.87
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.6%+$181.69
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.8%+$25.89
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+123.3%+$13.62
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$44.55
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.