NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31c6c2fec0fec5543fb6a33b2bdadd72c8511bc2e44a8f20159cac4f75b09a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,120,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,120,435 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 35c | 770,889$267,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267,438.63 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mavericks | 65c | 368,905$239,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,116.75 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks | 65c | 231,133$151,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,029.87 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Grizzlies | 35c | 148,719$52,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,051.55 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Mavericks | 66c | 100,731$66,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,804.29 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks | 65c | 75,892$49,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,565.72 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 35c | 75,000$26,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,250 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 71,433$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 33c | 65,555$21,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,633.13 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 66c | 63,924$42,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,512.89 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 78c | 59,313$46,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,168.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 55,854$16,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,165.16 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 65c | 50,000$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,500 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 3c | 49,786$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Grizzlies | 33c | 47,999$15,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,839.43 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 65c | 43,257$28,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,981.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c3…ed9dbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 41,220$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Grizzlies | 9c | 38,476$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks | 65c | 36,058$23,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,620.39 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Mavericks | 67c | 33,360$22,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,010.99 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 63c | 30,955$19,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,457.18 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mavericks | 67c | 30,700$20,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,132.46 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 19c | 29,636$5,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Mavericks | 65c | 29,540$19,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,339.01 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed Mavericks | 66c | 27,282$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Grizzlies | 35c | 22,946$8,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069.07 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 72c | 20,049$14,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,613.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Mavericks | 70c | 19,972$13,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,973.35 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Mavericks | 79c | 19,701$15,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.14 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 66c | 17,778$11,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,046.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mavericks | 64c | 17,437$11,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.16 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Mavericks | 66c | 16,204$10,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,512.39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 36c | 15,388$5,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,571.55 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Mavericks | 67c | 15,149$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.25 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…a7c8backed Grizzlies | 35c | 15,143$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Mavericks | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Mavericks | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.06 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Mavericks | 65c | 14,974$9,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.98 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Mavericks | 65c | 14,063$9,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks | 65c | 13,966$9,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.27 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Grizzlies | 16c | 12,762$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.18 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 65c | 12,234$7,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 8c | 11,742$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.35 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 11,426$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.19 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Grizzlies | 18c | 11,298$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 10,576$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Grizzlies | 36c | 9,881$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.63 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Mavericks | 67c | 9,257$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.16 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…194cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 8,930$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…76d2backed Mavericks | 56c | 8,920$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…84d3backed Mavericks | 56c | 8,920$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…8225backed Grizzlies | 44c | 8,910$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…8743backed Grizzlies | 43c | 8,770$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…54c4backed Mavericks | 57c | 8,760$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…070dbacked Mavericks | 57c | 8,760$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…8365backed Grizzlies | 43c | 8,750$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Mavericks | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.27 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Mavericks | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.04 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Grizzlies | 35c | 8,000$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.22 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 8,000$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.73 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Grizzlies | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Grizzlies | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.95 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Mavericks | 65c | 7,922$5,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.66 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Grizzlies | 36c | 7,664$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…2ed2backed Mavericks | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mavericks | 69c | 7,350$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.81 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks | 58c | 7,323$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.07 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 7,288$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 7,155$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.2 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 65c | 6,500$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…94cfbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 6,100$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies | 1c | 6,069$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8730…a7ffbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 68c | 5,801$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Grizzlies | 35c | 5,753$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 5,654$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks | 65c | 5,440$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Mavericks | 66c | 5,437$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.74 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 70c | 5,391$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…e750backed Grizzlies | 34c | 5,335$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…429bbacked Mavericks | 66c | 5,152$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 65c | 5,064$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Mavericks | 68c | 5,028$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.11 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Mavericks | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.45 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Grizzlies | 2c | 4,971$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…d01ebacked Mavericks | 66c | 4,848$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 6c | 4,731$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.43 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…4425backed Grizzlies | 34c | 4,665$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Mavericks | 65c | 4,617$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.46 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies | 8c | 4,516$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.01 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Mavericks | 67c | 4,200$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.75 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…fe53backed Mavericks | 66c | 3,990$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.08 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,984$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.98 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,954$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.34 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…38d6backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,900$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…8dd1backed Grizzlies | 16c | 3,819$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.