NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee583d91a8bf27560ac02e01ea6d07b79e990739ca71f2cf6c0b1f66d095b833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,483 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 53c | 22,650$11,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,742.39 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 49c | 14,430$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,082.89 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 12,280$5,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,873.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,882$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 7,321$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.96 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 6,947$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 6,002$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.01 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 5,871$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 5,439$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 3,948$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 49c | 3,796$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Under | 54c | 3,070$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.2 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…6cc7backed Over | 49c | 2,917$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…9e35backed Over | 49c | 2,832$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…ec72backed Under | 51c | 2,815$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…9270backed Under | 51c | 2,795$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…5d6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,746$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa61…0889backed Under | 51c | 2,687$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…8d28backed Under | 51c | 2,628$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…3f30backed Under | 50c | 2,571$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…3a8bbacked Under | 51c | 2,562$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…b6e6backed Under | 51c | 2,551$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…edc3backed Over | 49c | 2,526$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…81f3backed Over | 49c | 2,514$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…d87cbacked Over | 49c | 2,503$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 46c | 2,164$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.06 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,488$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 52c | 1,112$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.49 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 48c | 995.11$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.95 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 968.38$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 52c | 962.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.88 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 915.67$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 46c | 876.48$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Under | 50c | 758.83$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 708.41$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.95 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 687$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 47c | 662.42$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 614.12$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 51c | 588.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.97 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 436.61$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 396.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 378.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over | 50c | 310.58$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 254.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 48c | 221.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 44c | 196.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Under | 53c | 188.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 21c | 167.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…4019backed Under | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Under | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 130.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 51c | 114.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Under | 51c | 114.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…7f81backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Over | 49c | 99.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Under | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 51c | 98.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 97.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 50c | 91.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 51c | 86.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 55c | 81.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 71.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 62.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…c286backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…e341backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over | 48c | 50.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…f8efbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 48.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Under | 51c | 43.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 51c | 38.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed Over | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Under | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 48c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Under | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…e536backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 22.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…a8e1backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. GrizzliesMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.