TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0cf…6639

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT6440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$27.2
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$46.28
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.16
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.82
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$49.2
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.2
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.99
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.29
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.22
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.15
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.16
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+233.3%+$60.9
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$35.28
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+65.2%+$39.32
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$38.54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$54.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.18
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.11
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.18
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.17
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+128%+$53.84
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$51.6
Red Wings vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.32
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62.82
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.64
Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.08
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.26
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$41.36
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.02
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$28.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.73
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$43.92
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.53
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$58.28
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.