Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f8e3042fcdc792e3f1f35154d0377a8416c10ea4c37ace7185e7cdb4da129e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 4,541$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 31c | 1,085$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.73 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 22c | 1,025$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 77c | 908.55$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 13c | 896.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 71c | 774.65$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.65 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 16c | 700.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Under | 69c | 691$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 519.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 39c | 306.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 18c | 260$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 257.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 12c | 209.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 30c | 194$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 21c | 190.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 30c | 168$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…799dbacked Over | 30c | 167.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Under | 72c | 165.66$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 10c | 159.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…1e8abacked Under | 69c | 152.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over | 17c | 131.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 39c | 112.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 74c | 103.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 100.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 68c | 99.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 39c | 92.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 39c | 82.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 31c | 71.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…4d9ebacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 33c | 66.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 66.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Under | 78c | 63.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked Under | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 76c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 59c | 58.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Over | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Under | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 69c | 39.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 28c | 36.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 78c | 36.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 31c | 32.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 75c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 69c | 19.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 69c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.