Premier League · resolved market
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04915dafe134bd2f787b3962fd1de16d3f4e1550d042aef62ee3c6ccefdb39cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof AFC Bournemouth, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d42…f124backed AFC Bournemouth | 9c | 1,250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 520$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed AFC Bournemouth | 28c | 293.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Sunderland AFC | 72c | 290$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…119dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed AFC Bournemouth | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked AFC Bournemouth | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 68.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed AFC Bournemouth | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Sunderland AFC | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 29c | 41.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked AFC Bournemouth | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…ed48backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Sunderland AFC | 71c | 27.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.