Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf21eea1de903fa6733160fea55c95938e4c86749ec0f9179f2e51ef7bb1038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 13,111$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 23c | 6,679$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.17 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 76c | 4,520$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.91 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 16c | 3,748$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 77c | 2,274$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.91 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 78c | 2,241$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.37 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…1dcebacked Over | 79c | 1,260$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 12c | 1,250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 78c | 876.48$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.55 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 758.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 77c | 700.69$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 22c | 619.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 23c | 545$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 79c | 509.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…2e23backed Under | 23c | 465.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 77c | 270$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 249.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Over | 66c | 235.06$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…4fd7backed Over | 77c | 220.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 190.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 185.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 23c | 164.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Under | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2068…e0e7backed Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 69c | 114$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 79c | 112.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 109.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 23c | 97.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…3d2dbacked Under | 16c | 82.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +495.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…6d03backed Over | 79c | 58.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 68c | 55.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 73 | 69.9%51 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 22c | 48.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 77c | 46.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 45.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 71c | 37.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Over | 77c | 36.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…e707backed Over | 79c | 29.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…a8a9backed Over | 79c | 29.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…0633backed Over | 77c | 22.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 77c | 19.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 77c | 18.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.