TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9734…8f5e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
264
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT6448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$70.42
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$46.36
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.63
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$61.38
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$163.7
Warriors vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$173
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$25.21
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$140.43
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.6%+$23.92
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31
1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.84
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$54.74
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$66.55
Will Girona FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$166.22
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will Levante UD vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+246%+$73.81
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.33
Will Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$97.78
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed KRC Genk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)backed SC Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.7%+$4.64
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$10
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.86
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.48
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.63
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.92
Will Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.47
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.95
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.51
Will Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+286.1%+$85.83
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+61.6%+$18.47
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$14.71
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed US Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$110.17
Will RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$25
VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.9
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)backed FC Famalicão · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.18
Will SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25.6%+$5.12
Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.85
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+257.1%+$64.29
Will FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+270.4%+$67.59
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-68.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Valencia vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$36.94
Fenerbahce vs. Monacobacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$182.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.