Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8779f0d27bd46bb6fe1706de97ade8c26eaa13d0c7e392cb7e1c5a104fe69680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,141 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 10,238$7,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.7 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 9,812$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.5 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 24c | 9,065$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 73c | 5,819$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 28c | 5,714$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed No | 73c | 5,459$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 71c | 4,855$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.76 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…6964backed Yes | 27c | 4,681$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,959$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.84 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 74c | 3,856$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.57 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 27c | 3,312$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 3,087$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.66 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes | 27c | 2,598$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.38 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 2,437$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.74 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 73c | 2,130$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.14 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 77c | 1,561$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.36 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Yes | 27c | 1,436$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.82 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.9 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.75 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…b900backed No | 73c | 1,048$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 966.82$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.18 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 26c | 800.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 746$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 26c | 735$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 28c | 707$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3b…4b00backed Yes | 27c | 683.25$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 615$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 28c | 584$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 24c | 578.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b74…8b14backed Yes | 27c | 563.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Yes | 28c | 504.93$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 503.61$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 494.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 33c | 423$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 26c | 405$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdb…62e0backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…ebdebacked No | 73c | 382.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 13c | 371.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8b…95e3backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 370.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5a41backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 15c | 354.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 24c | 316.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 17c | 314.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5bacbacked Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 28c | 296.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 283.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 28c | 280.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 277.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 32c | 261.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…ba8dbacked No | 74c | 251.04$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0c…3e1fbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…49b8backed No | 74c | 242.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…e924backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 27c | 210.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 14c | 208.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 207.93$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 28c | 207$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 206$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…d528backed No | 74c | 203.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 25c | 191$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…8bf1backed No | 74c | 190.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 189.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…b6acbacked No | 74c | 185.51$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 14c | 182.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 28c | 182$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0c60backed Yes | 23c | 179.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccb…991dbacked No | 74c | 174.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 69c | 170.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 165.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 25c | 159.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 27c | 157.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Yes | 27c | 147.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes | 27c | 130.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.