TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ee4…8c98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
368
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10448.1%50 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$525
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$880
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$120.56
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$89.65
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$489.47
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$490.91
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT7846.2%36 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$134.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.88
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.37
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$179.68
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.44
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.44
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$80.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$508.88
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$154.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT7343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$793
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+230.9%+$341.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$119.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+450.5%+$517.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$448.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$318.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+114%+$227.93
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+75%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: PSV (-2.5)backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+98%+$58.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.