TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$590,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$528,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes21c239,432$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No79c207,745$164,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,626.361323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No80c36,752$29,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,350.4610948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Yes20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…cd29backed Yes7c14,436$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c12,827$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.852,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes4c12,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No80c11,702$9,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.4512050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes20c11,500$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c10,039$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.3819840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes11c7,232$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.7892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes13c6,908$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes19c6,079$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.7119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes19c5,920$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.8435442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes19c5,555$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c5,089$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.791,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c4,400$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88064457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3e…713abacked Yes19c4,335$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.063847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes9c3,723$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes7c3,500$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23612020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b90…52aebacked Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes10c3,089$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d2…38aebacked Yes8c2,384$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c2,358$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.221,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes11c2,224$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.151926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes19c2,211$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9722246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes20c2,061$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.15825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes20c2,050$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-80.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Yes7c2,028$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.94425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes19c1,959$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.1523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes11c1,872$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes20c1,813$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd7…732abacked Yes20c1,809$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes19c1,334$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3913445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes20c1,300$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c1,277$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7744039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc733…3805backed Yes8c1,275$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes10c1,258$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.611513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Yes6c1,228$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes12c1,214$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…bf99backed Yes15c1,180$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes20c1,107$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.41618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No79c1,094$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8210843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Yes19c1,057$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.89520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8015…da39backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c1,038$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes13c1,035$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+111.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes19c1,026$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f57…bc20backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3069…83cdbacked Yes7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Yes11c873.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.751915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No80c866.41$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.283655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Yes19c847.37$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No80c840.45$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Yes9c834.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.098643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Yes19c785.35$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes6c750.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.027424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea8…6d62backed Yes19c656.58$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd116…4317backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c5f…863bbacked Yes8c611.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0dc…c52cbacked Yes8c605$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes20c568.5$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.76839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fd…3ebfbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes19c530$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe532…f9b9backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes20c525$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes19c524.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc0…5b3bbacked Yes8c520.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes20c515$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10313426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e1…9afabacked Yes19c514$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes20c503.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.691540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056e…c0f4backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3f…64a2backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf894…8867backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b59…31b4backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536d…5fbfbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed Yes14c500$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes5c499.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad1d…a725backed Yes20c483.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes15c482.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x155f…c61ebacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes19c449.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.