TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd79c…9f33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT12313%16 W · 107 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucksbacked Charlotte Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.75
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.27
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.89
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.64
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+141.4%+$837.81
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.16
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.71
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.43
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.16
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.28
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$146.43
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.58
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.74
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.3
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.37
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$72.7
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.29
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.29
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.32
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5320.8%11 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,302.93
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.48
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.83
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.46
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$164.47
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.45
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.64
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.61
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.58
Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$221.91
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.64
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.48
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+117.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.68
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$269.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayenibacked Alafia Ayeni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.