MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3464ca5b200791ca9c881cc34a51725c975ac214c4cb64a4e58decaf96228af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 21,561$11,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,756.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 17,599$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,466.26 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.96 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 12,982$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.87 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 11,149$7,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,126.84 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 9,411$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.33 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 9,060$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 8,669$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,712.62 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 8,199$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 7,782$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.28 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 7,344$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 6,919$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.41 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 6,269$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.66 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 6,269$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.2 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 5,781$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.76 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 5,705$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.86 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 5,518$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.32 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 5,418$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 5,134$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.51 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 4,798$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.58 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 4,759$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.93 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 4,234$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.08 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 3,993$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 3,903$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.99 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 3,797$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 3,708$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.38 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 3,498$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 3,301$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.47 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 3,225$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.36 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 3,207$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.03 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 3,157$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,113$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.3 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 3,082$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.32 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 2,875$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.07 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 2,684$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.94 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 2,578$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.01 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 2,516$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.29 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.08 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79b…5381backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,285$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 2,263$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.13 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…8facbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 2,231$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,049$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.23 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,965$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,873$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.07 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,841$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,704$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,675$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.78 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 1,523$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.06 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 1,441$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.4 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,406$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.16 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 1,371$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 1,370$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 1,347$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.66 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,281$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 1,275$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.44 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 1,234$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.08 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,225$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.21 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 1,187$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 1,148$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.64 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,148$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.51 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…4679backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 1,099$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,080$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.08 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 1,063$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,008$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.32 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 998.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 968.17$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.12 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 919.24$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.16 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 903.55$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.7 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 893.63$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.57 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 850.75$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.94 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…cfa7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 850.75$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 849.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 795.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 776.05$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.64 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 770.28$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.72 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 745.93$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 737.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.69 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 702.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.49 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 695.47$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.25 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 679.3$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.58 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 659.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.23 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 654.29$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.05 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 629.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.77 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…f11bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 627.85$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…7889backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 610.37$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 599.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 21c | 592.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 588.06$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 573.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 568.56$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.65 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 541.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.07 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 524.73$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 501.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.49 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.