TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x720e…17b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
431
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT13957.6%80 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$1,836.11
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$56.4
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+176.5%+$2,022.71
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,582Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.4%+$10,875.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,104.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+200.9%+$2,337
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.74
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$378
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$131.54
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$15.87
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$127.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+46%+$63.6
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$237.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$68.37
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.11
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.4
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$95.34
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$53.03
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.23
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$171.75
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.29
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT7862.8%49 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$15.19
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.92
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Arevalo/Pavicbacked Helioevaara/Patten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.4
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefanibacked Dabrowski/Stefani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$76.63
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.74
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$1,391
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Danilina/Krunic vs Neel/Olmosbacked Danilina/Krunic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,118.22
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barriosbacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$936.58
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,457.8
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frechbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham 2: Billy Harris vs Arthur Geabacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parksbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,048.42
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$314.73
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.5
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$133.21
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$274.15
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$147
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$992.02
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$296.08
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6467.2%43 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$188.35
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.27
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30%+$59.92
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$12.03
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$102.15
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,606Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$953.6
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.9
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$78.39
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.93
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$106.49
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$143.88
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$68.01
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$117.11
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$117.37
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,594.3
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,069Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26%+$796.79
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$36.65
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$243.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,768Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,923.25
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$237.67
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,832.3
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.56
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.06
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.72
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.54
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.99
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$306.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.4%+$46.41
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,624Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+35.3%+$926.34
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$91.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+70.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$104.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.