Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f291e4d2dfc44a42ee0eb1d83f2e42a90ce943a71f643cadf4e98c5a6ec3eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $322,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ca9…fca8backed Yes | 0c | 21,515$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 26c | 17,394$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.21 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 56c | 13,864$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,807.61 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 29c | 12,315$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.83 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 26c | 12,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 10,708$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.38 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 9,070$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.29 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 74c | 8,671$6,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.75 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 8,129$5,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.6 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 68c | 7,200$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.92 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 6,835$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.22 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Yes | 25c | 6,551$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.74 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 6,431$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.19 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 51c | 6,298$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.03 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…8f97backed No | 51c | 5,183$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.57 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Yes | 60c | 5,126$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…48cdbacked Yes | 65c | 5,091$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 39c | 5,026$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.99 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 31c | 4,859$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…20a2backed Yes | 25c | 4,600$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 4,127$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.84 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed No | 37c | 3,928$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.39 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 35c | 3,800$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes | 60c | 3,300$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.13 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 2,836$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 16c | 2,656$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.92 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 42c | 2,404$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.6 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 48c | 2,163$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.05 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 19c | 2,127$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.08 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 52c | 2,087$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 2,054$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.55 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 41c | 2,027$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.18 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 18c | 1,933$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.6 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 80c | 1,733$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 51c | 1,664$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.88 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 74c | 1,642$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.35 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…7b84backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Yes | 64c | 1,542$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.02 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Yes | 47c | 1,456$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.07 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 1,400$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 78c | 1,386$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 78c | 1,349$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.72 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 69c | 1,287$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.61 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked No | 74c | 1,249$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.9 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed Yes | 19c | 1,137$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 51c | 1,123$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.08 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,115$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…9728backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 76c | 1,110$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 26c | 1,104$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Yes | 17c | 1,104$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 1,088$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.93 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 46c | 1,087$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.03 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,058$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.1 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 72c | 1,050$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.73 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…a7b2backed Yes | 19c | 1,030$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 46c | 1,001$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.35 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 40c | 999.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 50c | 990.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.12 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 51c | 989.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.28 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 983.41$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.62 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 21c | 934.65$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 54c | 932.31$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.12 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 58c | 926.5$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.95 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 55c | 923.89$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 877$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 74c | 860$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…450fbacked No | 63c | 851.01$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.82 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes | 31c | 803.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 30c | 781.11$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 62c | 774.6$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.05 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 72c | 710$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d6…5e06backed No | 71c | 706.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.21 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 79c | 685.46$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…125cbacked Yes | 29c | 680.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 645.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 37c | 645.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…2f06backed Yes | 61c | 644.2$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…65d6backed Yes | 17c | 640.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…7a5ebacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 74c | 618.91$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 16c | 610$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 605.11$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.51 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…9c18backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 24c | 585.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 42c | 577.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.57 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…ca05backed Yes | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes | 16c | 549.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.