Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bf2c54fb4ca9d63427816cd88ab8f7b5ede5b2b9166c366a940f1a0d6d0a290

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $262,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $262,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5cae…a00abacked Yes	13c	39,482$5,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,019.3	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	6c	16,252$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.59	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	12c	10,000$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.98	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	7c	6,160$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.41	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f5…c0dabacked Yes	10c	5,223$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.93	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	9c	3,580$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.51	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	11c	3,273$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.39	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	12c	3,195$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.14	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	12c	3,034$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.93	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes	13c	2,635$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	9c	2,624$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.18	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes	10c	2,469$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.94	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	21cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	10c	2,416$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.71	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes	11c	2,382$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.83	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	6c	2,200$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.57	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes	11c	2,043$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	5c	2,003$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.63	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	6c	1,863$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.31	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	6c	1,836$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.06	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes	14c	1,750$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.45	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bd…7cb3backed Yes	1c	1,691$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	9c	1,651$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.94	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	1,595$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.77	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	11c	1,554$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.6	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes	2c	1,329$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	9c	1,300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.3	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	9c	1,213$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.96	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	8c	1,184$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.28	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33b9…0231backed Yes	8c	1,165$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44a…51a7backed Yes	2c	1,138$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	307	32.9%101 W · 206 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes	10c	1,073$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.47	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes	10c	1,033$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.23	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…34bcbacked Yes	6c	1,021$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.4	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	14c	1,000$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.17	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ffa…e625backed Yes	7c	999.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb67…e62abacked Yes	10c	999.98$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.74	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc562…7c61backed Yes	2c	941.32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	11c	928.64$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	10c	905.92$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.04	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes	12c	855.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.24	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	10c	832.45$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.58	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7fe…83aebacked Yes	5c	820.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	7c	700$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes	9c	688.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	192	25%48 W · 144 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	10c	678.54$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.41	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	674.48$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.68	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	12c	617.69$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.1	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0d…ab83backed Yes	8c	606.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes	10c	600$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.2	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes	12c	596.07$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.91	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4266…5305backed Yes	10c	583.67$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.78	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	8c	551.29$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	13c	539.06$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.43	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	12c	528.19$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.97	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	10c	505.35$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.52	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8525…46d6backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	7c	499.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	11c	499.98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	12c	483.8$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.37	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes	11c	462.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.22	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes	11c	429.49$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Yes	10c	426.37$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.01	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	8c	416.4$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.37	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2955…0738backed Yes	7c	400.06$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-87.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	311	32.2%100 W · 211 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c6…e6d4backed Yes	11c	400$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-62%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed Yes	8c	399.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2471…7796backed Yes	11c	392.05$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	48	4.2%2 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes	9c	370.53$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.45	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	14c	370$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.84	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x223b…85dfbacked Yes	8c	361.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes	10c	334.63$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.46	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes	6c	329.16$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.21	216	33.8%73 W · 143 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4181…4d96backed Yes	12c	322.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes	7c	303.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	36.1%65 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd497…c62fbacked Yes	10c	302.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	7c	290$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	12c	282.26$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	14c	277.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.42	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	11c	274$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.32	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f42…6fcbbacked Yes	8c	259.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd17…7856backed Yes	10c	252.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	6c	249.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d5…ebe9backed Yes	5c	246.47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	9c	245.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x147b…dceabacked Yes	11c	237.18$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.09	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-89%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes	8c	232.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	10c	222.03$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4886…6a97backed Yes	11c	219.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	9c	218.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.74	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	14c	217.55$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes	11c	204.55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71af…dd01backed Yes	12c	203.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	9c	202.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	10c	202$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x436d…dadebacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	174	60.3%105 W · 69 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes	9c	200$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b5…2467backed Yes	10c	199.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event