TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71af…dd01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,891
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+753.1%+$4,855.26
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.78
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.55
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.6
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$295.62
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$387.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$75.9
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$387.75
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$294.25
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$247.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$291.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$192.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$247.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$385
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$54.79
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$158.4
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$4.79
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$256.68
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$133.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$183.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$172.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$124
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$152.5
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$74.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$62.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$242
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$25.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$60
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$289.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$62.7
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$368.69
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,071
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$149.6
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$537.49
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$90.01
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.8%+$606.2
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+49.5%+$132.48
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$55.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+203%+$113.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+163.2%+$68.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.1%+$37.52
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$57.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$154.11
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$85.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.85
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$25.85
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.2%+$82.35
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+99.7%+$624
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$36.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$61.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37.2%+$55.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.