TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c4,722$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.024,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under29c3,669$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.061,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over63c2,330$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.985052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c1,971$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.933,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over41c1,841$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over73c1,379$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over46c1,230$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7213045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under27c1,124$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4438729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75069142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over70c999.99$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c988.72$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.941,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.353151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under28c700.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.159923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under29c663.86$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under28c509.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8624047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c508.94$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6310441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over73c504.03$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6722366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under27c499.96$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.9723452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over68c439.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.582846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over64c318.02$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5313230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1672955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Under80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over72c281.94$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over72c277.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under28c263.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507753.2%41 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c218.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.515451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x82a6…af86backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14610063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Under54c185.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.099949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over56c184.7$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over71c170$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.72065%13 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over73c167.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over56c159.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906933.3%23 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under27c159.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2362258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6654…5952backed Over73c157.04$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…4662backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3539…444fbacked Under65c150.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ce…07adbacked Over50c149.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Over72c143.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f2c…543bbacked Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006950.7%35 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Under40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over59c114.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa224…4cb8backed Under29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+101.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634721.3%10 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d73…036abacked Under42c94.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over65c91.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.128846.5%134 W · 154 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf95d…ca8dbacked Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8350%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over55c89.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…15adbacked Over78c83.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under27c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.47951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a5…7e15backed Over78c78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over74c75.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5931745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6e…85c1backed Over65c74.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca44…6d4ebacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Over71c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.73557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x905d…ada9backed Under27c66.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Over63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.831957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over63c63.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.843461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Under26c57.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9887…79a8backed Under36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71af…dd01backed Over50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over72c53.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.423751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under26c51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over36c50.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.083551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+304.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over55c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.513958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under55c47.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2157252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over72c47.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b9…1cb4backed Over51c47.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over76c46.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.233577.1%27 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x164c…3e39backed Under35c45.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over46c43.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de8…f53bbacked Under27c42.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Under25c40.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.58932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…eff8backed Under27c40.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…a3aebacked Under27c40.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.36333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a2…a2d1backed Under27c40.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…c890backed Under27c40.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069b…095dbacked Under27c40.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…f150backed Under27c40.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf564…38a3backed Under27c40.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.