TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb1a6…c0fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$251.33
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$146.67
AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$56.26
Brighton vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$54.6
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bournemouth vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49.6
Tottenham vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$120.7
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Espanyol vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.1%+$26.11
Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.7%+$26.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$52.8
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$30.63
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$99.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$54.31
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.2%+$30.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Twente '65 vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30.04
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$59.97
FC Groningen vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.7%+$74.72
SC Heerenveen vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.4%+$39.57
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$48.66
FC Twente '65 vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Telstar 1963 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+67.6%+$33.8
PSV vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick63cpaid-53.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
VfB Stuttgart vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
SV Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.49
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$61.54
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$40.38
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$27.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$439.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+34.1%+$13.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.