TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Raptors, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,102,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,095,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,102,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe405…bf91backed Raptors22c60,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.9748448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Raptors25c40,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9714052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks72c35,658$25,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,942.3744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks75c33,293$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,293.4934062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Knicks75c22,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Raptors25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9813345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Knicks75c19,442$14,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,860.414856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors27c18,586$5,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,076.582,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Knicks72c15,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Raptors25c14,366$3,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.7676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Knicks72c14,222$10,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,982.1611741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Knicks74c11,019$8,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.9411558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors2c10,738$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.661,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks74c10,511$7,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.5969852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Raptors19c10,374$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014243%61 W · 81 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Raptors15c10,000$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4553357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors1c9,053$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.248820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…506cbacked Knicks74c8,400$6,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Raptors19c8,000$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.231,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors11c7,339$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.851,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Raptors25c6,924$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.7210235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Raptors17c6,032$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Raptors26c5,555$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.35925.4%15 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Knicks73c5,410$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.47258.3%42 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Raptors18c5,000$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.6912334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Raptors5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Knicks74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9921951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Raptors22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.991435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Raptors27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.971323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Raptors12c4,855$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60040536.5%148 W · 257 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Raptors13c4,789$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.5737930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…57b3backed Raptors17c4,703$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors28c4,674$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.252,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Knicks78c4,408$3,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.5448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Raptors26c4,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03020454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Knicks74c3,772$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.7247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Raptors26c3,558$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9254440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Raptors18c3,391$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5947149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Knicks72c3,333$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.2428850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors27c3,273$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.414,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors28c3,150$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8821,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Raptors29c3,107$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90136943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Knicks75c3,016$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.0848957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Knicks73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81015461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Raptors5c3,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16046342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Raptors6c3,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks69c2,970$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.1261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors1c2,876$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.767211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Raptors27c2,870$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9834855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Raptors26c2,868$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.6835447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors11c2,827$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.0381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Knicks72c2,780$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.3913743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Raptors28c2,679$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75032827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b33…a120backed Raptors26c2,600$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6762152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Knicks74c2,542$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66172450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef72…5295backed Raptors8c2,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.38944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Raptors9c2,500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21542640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Raptors11c2,351$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27047134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Raptors28c2,200$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6169851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd43…5db2backed Raptors26c2,100$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+114.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b10…5548backed Raptors5c2,088$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.92240.9%9 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+78.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe91…7b3dbacked Raptors26c2,081$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54119144.5%85 W · 106 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Knicks73c2,062$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.337448.6%36 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Raptors26c2,032$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.4246632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Raptors7c2,002$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14267911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Raptors10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016750.9%85 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ee…5436backed Raptors26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Raptors18c2,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea66…4824backed Raptors5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+136.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Raptors4c2,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411558.3%67 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Knicks73c2,000$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.996659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Knicks68c1,924$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.2218452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Raptors26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007050%35 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Raptors26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Raptors16c1,900$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29825146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Raptors26c1,841$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.711149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Raptors7c1,804$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.421,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks74c1,800$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Knicks73c1,800$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48612843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Raptors1c1,776$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks74c1,729$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.552,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6547…a2a0backed Raptors26c1,654$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Raptors28c1,628$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7648944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors20c1,569$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.533,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9d…e71abacked Raptors26c1,566$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Raptors26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Raptors26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39017931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Raptors26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a9…bdd3backed Knicks75c1,450$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Raptors7c1,439$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021548.4%104 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Raptors11c1,400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x306a…0d29backed Raptors29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4068048.8%39 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x802b…d765backed Knicks75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Raptors11c1,385$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026546%122 W · 143 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eca…aa64backed Raptors26c1,350$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Raptors27c1,320$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.652,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…1ba1backed Raptors26c1,250$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3252142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Knicks78c1,224$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1431453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.