TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x387c…57b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19,653Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+73%+$14,341.52
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,498.24
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000.05
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$128.7
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+344.9%+$15,514.36
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,499.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$599.69
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$8,516Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+257.3%+$21,914.97
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,999.99
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$4,997.5
Raiders vs. Chargersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$550.72
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$674.5
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64,847Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+93.4%+$60,587.88
Wild vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,997Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+70.4%+$3,518.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$4,323.01
Iona Gaels vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,996Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+75%+$7,499.56
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$291.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49,989.99
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34,403Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$30,508.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,499.75
UCF vs. BYUbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,997.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$99,969.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.