NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4fb7d224ebb7aff2b388bc86dc0bae2a81263748ea7122f819e940ef9c8014f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ff…e56abacked Red Wings | 42c | 20,086$8,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,649.94 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 40c | 12,219$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,277.75 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 58c | 12,122$7,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,030.91 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 59c | 11,084$6,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,488.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…9faabacked Red Wings | 71c | 11,032$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 67c | 9,754$6,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.59 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 41c | 9,279$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.02 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Capitals | 0c | 9,161$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 60c | 9,000$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 60c | 7,959$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.79 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 0c | 6,883$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Capitals | 38c | 5,051$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.52 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Red Wings | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 59c | 4,067$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.53 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Capitals | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.97 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings | 77c | 3,395$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.93 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Capitals | 38c | 3,340$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings | 41c | 3,181$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.84 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 21c | 3,153$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Capitals | 13c | 3,138$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.68 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Capitals | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Red Wings | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 4c | 2,494$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Capitals | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,931$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.6 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Capitals | 4c | 1,862$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Capitals | 38c | 1,775$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,714$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.45 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Capitals | 1c | 1,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Capitals | 9c | 1,643$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Capitals | 61c | 1,557$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,557$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.95 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Capitals | 5c | 1,210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 40c | 1,210$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.87 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,199$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.14 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Capitals | 59c | 1,150$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,062$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.49 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c87cbacked Capitals | 1c | 1,017$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 4c | 1,002$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Red Wings | 41c | 980$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Red Wings | 41c | 820.07$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.84 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Red Wings | 39c | 782$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Capitals | 60c | 701.15$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 59c | 683.78$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Capitals | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Capitals | 58c | 601.44$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Red Wings | 43c | 517.56$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.01 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Capitals | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Capitals | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…73acbacked Red Wings | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Capitals | 60c | 490$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Capitals | 60c | 480.95$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.57 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 59c | 446.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.48 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Capitals | 5c | 430.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Capitals | 4c | 429.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 40c | 408.48$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 8c | 383$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Red Wings | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 15c | 364.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Capitals | 58c | 359.6$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.57 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Capitals | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Capitals | 58c | 330$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Capitals | 15c | 327.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Capitals | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Capitals | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Capitals | 58c | 293.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Red Wings | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…12f4backed Red Wings | 41c | 288.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Red Wings | 42c | 266.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Red Wings | 45c | 264.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Capitals | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Capitals | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Capitals | 20c | 249.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Red Wings | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Red Wings | 42c | 237.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 59c | 233.89$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Capitals | 11c | 219$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Capitals | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Capitals | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Red Wings | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Wings | 40c | 199.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…aa64backed Capitals | 58c | 199.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Red Wings | 80c | 194.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Red Wings | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Capitals | 60c | 175$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Red Wings | 41c | 174.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Capitals | 59c | 173$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Capitals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Red Wings | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Capitals | 56c | 151$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed Capitals | 44c | 145.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Capitals | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Capitalsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.