TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bba…cf95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$20.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$62.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+149.6%+$22.44
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+300%+$60
Counter-Strike: Team buster vs Team StRoGo (BO3)backed Team buster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$67.47
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$43.21
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$362.07
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$374.43
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+150%+$118.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.2%+$31.23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$126.27
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$54.07
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$111.56
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$241.31
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$112.13
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked Spartak Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+62.6%+$31.91
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.6%+$45.15
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$48.64
KHL: Traktor vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+72.9%+$85.45
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Red Wings vs. Canucksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Sharks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Capitals vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$79.97
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Flames vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Devils (-2.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$50.67
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.15
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$90.65
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$52.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+57.5%+$71.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$120.93
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$21.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$68.8
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$77.45
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+103.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Nets vs. Spursbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+69.5%+$102.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$148.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$196.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$86.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.