NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3306d44ec9dc19e7dc4735b7f3d0a3a710a3b2a307dc13cebb911d6d54059b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,145,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,424,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,145,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 735 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Red Wings | 55c | 278,386$153,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,273.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Canucks | 46c | 149,945$68,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,744.5 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Canucks | 45c | 30,291$13,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,645.86 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 45c | 26,906$12,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,082.17 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Canucks | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canucks | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Canucks | 47c | 15,860$7,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,454.14 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Canucks | 45c | 15,400$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…00c1backed Red Wings | 53c | 14,421$7,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,763.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…b2e1backed Red Wings | 53c | 12,795$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,013.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canucks | 1c | 10,864$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks | 46c | 9,073$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canucks | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canucks | 45c | 8,919$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.97 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canucks | 47c | 8,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…c3bcbacked Red Wings | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Canucks | 45c | 7,650$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.57 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…944ebacked Canucks | 47c | 7,378$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Canucks | 46c | 7,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…d5b1backed Canucks | 47c | 6,775$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1e…912ebacked Canucks | 47c | 6,666$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Red Wings | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8185…aa29backed Canucks | 47c | 6,360$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canucks | 46c | 5,042$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.77 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 60c | 4,929$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.4 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…1522backed Canucks | 47c | 4,621$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…85debacked Red Wings | 53c | 4,613$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 45c | 4,332$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.07 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Canucks | 1c | 4,060$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Red Wings | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Canucks | 0c | 3,572$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canucks | 45c | 3,555$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.75 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canucks | 0c | 3,523$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Canucks | 33c | 3,036$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks | 29c | 2,721$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.68 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Wings | 52c | 2,717$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.35 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Canucks | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canucks | 37c | 2,179$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.98 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…5436backed Canucks | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 45c | 2,065$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.22 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canucks | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Canucks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Canucks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Canucks | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Canucks | 7c | 1,900$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.9 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,566$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.04 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…0513backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb7…86bcbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…9bccbacked Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…3f9ebacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…5ea8backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14b…bd40backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…4e14backed Canucks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…3230backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…e2a7backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…1df1backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…11c3backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…b3e4backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…d518backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4054…8cb7backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…7415backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a00…ef91backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…270bbacked Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4daf…2617backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…4e8bbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…674fbacked Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…de45backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cd5abacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fe…5e3ebacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…6e95backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…4510backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…4bcebacked Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef1…7568backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…328dbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985a…af29backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708b…4e2dbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…b750backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…261bbacked Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…2f7fbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…9285backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…f60cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc3…5b3cbacked Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…8ccebacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbc…8aaebacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…d5bfbacked Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…ae12backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…23b7backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…3ac3backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a59…e3e3backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…dc83backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e8…fd81backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…d7c9backed Canucks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed6d…5079backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…0b11backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Canucksthis page
- Red Wings vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.