TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over49c150,000$73,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,499.981,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Under51c105,127$53,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,542.2517749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under51c30,746$15,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,065.7714553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd670…b24ebacked Over50c12,500$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,249.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00010050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c10,839$5,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,402.962,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Over50c10,186$5,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,093.094665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under50c7,921$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.2928652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under51c7,907$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,875.933141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Under51c6,665$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+76.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over49c5,608$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.9138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Under52c5,191$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.931040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9830447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Over47c4,353$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.927548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c2,812$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.251,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under51c2,592$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.0530152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…14adbacked Under50c2,464$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Over50c2,464$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over50c2,002$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00114148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c1,815$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.321,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over50c1,496$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Over50c1,420$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71026946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under54c1,352$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.521,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c1,026$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over50c1,003$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.5416241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c990.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.7485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed Under51c978.43$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over48c975$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over49c815$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c792$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.0822248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Over49c561.03$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.918159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Over49c552$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.487240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under50c516.04$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0248452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011849.2%58 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.168956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c316$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4437649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb615…dde7backed Over50c289.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.691,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under51c206$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.941,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3974…cbeabacked Over46c201$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9834653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc91e…11c8backed Over46c194$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3153050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa150…b5e4backed Under54c189$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Under53c188.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.969552.6%50 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28a…2045backed Under54c188$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b36…ff96backed Over46c188$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ed…96c8backed Over45c188$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cd…1a80backed Under55c183$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32fe…4fd9backed Under54c181$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under51c178.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4414945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.069758.8%57 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over50c145.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4749053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c126$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c0…e3d9backed Over49c101.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c98.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3675946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5410652.8%56 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5447249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e8…c457backed Over50c87.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.974463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over51c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.299055.6%50 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1129550.2%148 W · 147 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bd…4f40backed Over51c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9916552.7%87 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1929147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1921648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1917552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1941851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1960549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under50c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1917249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020145.8%92 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over50c59.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff3f…f9d8backed Under53c54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c52.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over48c50.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0441847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ba…2aecbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under51c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5262944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2726448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2726348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2727148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.226845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1179350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under51c37.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5110864.8%70 W · 38 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7413246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8416048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8415647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.