TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x094e…f10b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
761
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT9347.3%44 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.69
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$836.6
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+306.1%+$2,005.03
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$888.29
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$155.38
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.35
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.5%+$108.78
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$139.86
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.01
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.08
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$182.04
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.24
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+45.6%+$8,298.6
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+225.7%+$76.92
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+384.9%+$468.32
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+34.8%+$294.77
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$133.2
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$41.07
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$210.9
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+515.4%+$1,302.34
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,786Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+27.5%+$767.15
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST7444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.32
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$765.79
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+484.8%+$184.02
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$274.17
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+203%+$371.85
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$77.7
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$144.3
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$288.6
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$249.75
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$349.65
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$299.7
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$366.99
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$283.05
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+90.5%+$527.25
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$333
Spread: LAR (-10.5)backed LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$271.95
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$333.3
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$266.4
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$138.75
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$266.4
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$804.75
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$266.4
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$277.5
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$160.95
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST7240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+127.3%+$310.8
Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$310.79
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$305.24
Red Wings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$270.48
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$266.4
Red Wings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$271.95
Canadiens vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$283.05
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$316.35
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$199.8
Kraken vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$419.58
Hurricanes vs. Jetsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$222
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$199.8
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$299.7
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$133.2
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$244.2
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$177.6
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$299.7
Ducks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.95
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$955.46
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$159.74
Bruins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$245.41
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$216.45
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$344.1
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$194.25
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT7055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.8
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$339.66
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$244.2
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$283.05
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$255.3
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$255.3
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$271.95
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$283.04
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$283.05
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$102.12
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$238.65
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$255.3
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+100%+$111
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$99.6
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$25.2
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$255.3
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$277.48
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+376.2%+$438.45
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$49.95
Pelicans vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$283.05
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$222
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$305.25
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$122.1
Bulls vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$208.67
Thunder vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+104.1%+$283.05
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST6949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 55.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$260.85
Spread: USC (-5.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$166.5
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$283.05
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$213.12
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$196.93
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$277.5
Spread: Louisville (-11.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$277.5
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$266.4
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$305.25
Spread: Washington State (-13.5)backed Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$266.4
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$621.6
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$106.56
Spread: Missouri (-3.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$255.3
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$255.3
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$283.05
Spread: Iowa (-6.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+101.4%+$279.38
O/U 62.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$283.05
Spread: Memphis (-3.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$277.5
Spread: BYU (-2.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+94.2%+$538.35
Tennessee vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$216.45
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$305.25
New Mexico vs. Air Forcebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$222
East Carolina vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$288.6
Spread: Oregon (-10.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$283.04
Arkansas vs. Texasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$138.75
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5745.6%26 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,251.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,622.03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$833.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$410.7
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$144.3
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$164.28
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.4%+$841.98
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$75.56
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.4%+$672.02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.6%+$429.85
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$66.6
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$240.87
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225.11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.1%+$856.22
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.27
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.9%+$149.4
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.84
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$177.6
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$306.36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75.92
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.8%+$149.68
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+33%+$110.11
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+234.6%+$1,011.69
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST5448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$84.36
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.81
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.1%+$140.26
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$29.36
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$182.25
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$208.68
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+183.6%+$273.32
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51%+$370
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,077.67
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+34.2%+$153.12
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
Will Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.42
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$194.25
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+73.5%+$517.26
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.95
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+32.6%+$409.59
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$233.1
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+33.1%+$10.47
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.3
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,195.45
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.16
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$599.39
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.96
GPT transaction fees by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$82.14
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$260.84
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.24
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$44.4
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197.58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$137.64
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.64
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$106.56
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$93.24
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.51
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.2%+$184.26
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.52
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.89
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.74
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$204.24
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,986Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,068.93
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$159.84
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27.75
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$497.28
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66.6
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$35.96
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$7.4
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+1,900%+$210.9
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$121.24
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$137.64
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 44%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$31.08
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+488.2%+$184.26
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$133.2
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+35.3%+$86.8
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.44
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$133.2
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.53
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48.84
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$185.13
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$453.99
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35.52
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+28.3%+$97.98
Will Carney visit Halifax by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.89
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.2
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.34
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$965
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+103.5%+$395.16
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+88%+$519.42
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$25.53
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+233.3%+$155.4
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,458Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.6%+$1,834.42
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,125.32
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$148.74
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35.08
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,245.56
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.3
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+376.2%+$175.38
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$316.35
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,321Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$1,100.56
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$86.58
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.17
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$530.17
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$313.33
Will lighter perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
Rainbow airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.6
Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.74
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.14
Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.19
Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$616.23
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.28
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$686.26
Will Agora win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.87
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$51.34
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.4
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+97.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$179.81
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.47
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.41
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
2025 September third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$117.66
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$77.7
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$79.92
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.02
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$95.46
Will a hurricane form by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.07
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$104.34
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+397.5%+$88.69
2025 August third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.52
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.65
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.69
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$341.76
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.86
Megaquake before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+2,812.6%+$321.57
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$53.28
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$523.9
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$414.35
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$950.15
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$204.08
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$47.29
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$241.98
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$77.7
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$96.54
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$973.11
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+168.2%+$543.12
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,928Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.7%+$1,403.32
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$261.96
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$97.68
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.42
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$91.91
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$48.84
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.4%+$1,026.33
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+118.5%+$1,050.98
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+30.8%+$235.23
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+63.8%+$130.45
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$56.76
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.72
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$321.87
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$277.5
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$157.62
Missouri Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$277.5
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$253.08
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$199.8
Oregon Ducks vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$205.35
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$136.53
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.48
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.24
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.61
Colorado State vs. Marylandbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.42
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.3
Queens vs. Northern Arizonabacked Queens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44
Elon vs. Armybacked Elon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.91
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.26
Drake vs. Texas Techbacked Drake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.58
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.5
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.29
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$137.64
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+67.6%+$263.29
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.3
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,424.11
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$48.84
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$90.57
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$75.6
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$38.85
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$222.89
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+122.6%+$887.64
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$180.93
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.8%+$74.16
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$111
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.04
Will 'Sinners' gross less than $44m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 48-64m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.82
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$62.05
All 16 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$54.39
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.3%+$238.65
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$68.82
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.38
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$337.44
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,365.93
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$281.94
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,457.92
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+116.9%+$270.49
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+42%+$631.16
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$105.41
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$175.38
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$96.48
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$62.16
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$192.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+41.8%+$327.75
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43%+$634.11
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.8%+$61.66
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$470.73
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.9
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.9%+$338.92
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$396.44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+34.2%+$339.95
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,646Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$464.21
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$111
Fed rate cut by June meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.11
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$383.21
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$490
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$336.05
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+126.1%+$805.3
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$143.19
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$173.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$222
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$546.11
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.8
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$260.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. India end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$104.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$97.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$15.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$111
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$102.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$172.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN Freecs vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO1)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$244.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.