NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd599fc5413685b0749d8fd50a8f0e936d0065b3f19f2eca461cf00a9bd9404f

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Jazz
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,319,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,319,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,319,198 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Jazz	10c	1,002,886$98,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,610.37	80	22.5%18 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Jazz	8c	137,679$11,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,014.34	154	43.5%67 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Jazz	9c	42,797$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	18c	36,537$6,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,487.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Jazz	9c	35,148$3,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,163.3	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	8c	29,573$2,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,434.8	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jazz	17c	26,396$4,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,592.99	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Jazz	9c	22,500$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz	8c	21,585$1,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,719.07	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Jazz	14c	20,006$2,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,881.16	202	53.5%108 W · 94 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz	10c	20,000$1,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,942.85	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	17c	16,995$2,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,865.85	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz	9c	14,748$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.21	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Jazz	21c	14,309$2,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,998	98	52%51 W · 47 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz	16c	13,125$2,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,046.81	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	9c	12,618$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.58	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Jazz	8c	11,888$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.95	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz	9c	11,165$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.57	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Jazz	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Jazz	15c	9,993$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	14c	6,222$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.86	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Jazz	9c	6,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a0…be02backed Jazz	2c	5,581$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz	14c	5,140$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.42	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Jazz	25c	5,000$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,236.89	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Jazz	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25b7…bafdbacked Jazz	9c	4,600$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz	14c	4,530$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.96	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jazz	9c	4,444$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e11…82a9backed Jazz	23c	4,304$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Jazz	9c	4,236$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.23	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f8…a547backed Jazz	9c	3,843$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.83	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Jazz	10c	3,843$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.25	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Jazz	8c	3,750$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.03	132	50%66 W · 66 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz	17c	3,739$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.1	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz	28c	3,730$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.7	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Jazz	9c	3,680$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Jazz	9c	3,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	167	30.5%51 W · 116 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Jazz	8c	3,333$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.64	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz	19c	3,189$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.12	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce6…107cbacked Jazz	2c	3,104$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz	9c	3,000$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.27	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz	1c	2,860$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz	11c	2,616$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz	33c	2,584$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.01	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Jazz	10c	2,500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	251	46.2%116 W · 135 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Thunder	77c	2,363$1,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.68	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Jazz	19c	2,256$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.69	124	58.9%73 W · 51 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz	2c	2,177$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Jazz	19c	2,066$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.56	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf571…3a5dbacked Jazz	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	173	45.7%79 W · 94 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Jazz	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder	72c	2,000$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.99	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c0…f117backed Jazz	11c	1,902$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.32	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Jazz	25c	1,895$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz	16c	1,829$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.2	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Jazz	10c	1,730$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.85	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Jazz	14c	1,704$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.59	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Jazz	11c	1,700$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	160	45%72 W · 88 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz	9c	1,661$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.49	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a5…8755backed Jazz	1c	1,635$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Jazz	9c	1,600$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7122…c968backed Jazz	1c	1,558$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	19cpaid	+152.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jazz	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9163…714dbacked Jazz	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b5c…308ebacked Jazz	21c	1,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	53cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jazz	9c	1,450$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.48	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3871…2a0cbacked Jazz	9c	1,353$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.79	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Jazz	9c	1,200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Jazz	3c	1,200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Jazz	12c	1,192$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.96	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Jazz	8c	1,142$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.04	50	26%13 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz	9c	1,141$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.73	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz	10c	1,135$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff5…61ddbacked Jazz	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Jazz	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-7.6wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x11bc…b2a5backed Jazz	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	244	42.6%104 W · 140 L	+15.1wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd61a…1a1dbacked Jazz	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Jazz	9c	1,100$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	198	45.5%90 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Jazz	9c	1,100$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	100	30%30 W · 70 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf417…c96bbacked Jazz	28c	1,088$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.63	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…2a8dbacked Jazz	9c	1,055$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.72	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	54cpaid	-64%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8979…f003backed Jazz	19c	1,033$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.35	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz	3c	1,003$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jazz	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Jazz	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Jazz	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	481	32.6%157 W · 324 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Jazz	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Jazz	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	237	48.1%114 W · 123 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Jazz	8c	999.93$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.33	182	39%71 W · 111 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Jazz	25c	999.47$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.91	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Jazz	7c	959.68$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	102	23.5%24 W · 78 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Jazz	13c	932.79$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.4	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	20cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Jazz	18c	914.29$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz	7c	910$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.81	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Jazz	10c	900$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Jazz	11c	885.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+5.7wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+112.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Thunder	79c	885.55$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.55	169	43.8%74 W · 95 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event