TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a68…6525

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
276
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST9215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Passion UA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Will B8 win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$39.36
Will TYLOO win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Fnatic win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.09
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Astralis (BO1)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$278.99
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$138.3
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Imperial (BO1)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$381.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$153.31
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$273
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$133.44
Will Fluxo win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs The Huns Esports (BO3)backed The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Rare Atom (BO3)backed Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$119
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$46.2
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.28
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST5320.8%11 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$460
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33.85
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$540
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$5,383.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+248.5%+$1,109.31
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.83
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.72
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$412.99
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$163.34
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.85
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.27
Will Vivo Keyd Stars win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$312
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.69
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$1,138.56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.52
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$139.29
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST5026%13 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$109.96
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$61.39
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+455.6%+$164
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$351.38
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+461.8%+$164.4
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$154.44
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$94.04
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$52
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$56.1
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39.33
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+318.4%+$105.08
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36.43
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+167.6%+$104.98
Thunder vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.09
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRX (BO5)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.85
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$496
Valorant: Fnatic vs NRG (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+136.3%+$175.95
Valorant: MIBR vs DRXbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Valorant: MIBR vs NRGbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rexbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+617.2%+$197.94
Valorant: DRX vs G2 Esportsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$276.5
Valorant: Team Heretics vs GXbacked GX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.08
Valorant: NRG vs GIANTXbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.8
Valorant: Team Heretics vs MIBRbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$459.59
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.72
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$156.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$65.91
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$153.14
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$228.01
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$84.28
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+614.3%+$172
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$75.05
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$440
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.49
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+210.6%+$358.72
Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$42.98
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$185.85
Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.87
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+125.8%+$13.93
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$53.02
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$64.44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$56.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$89.05
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+376.2%+$79
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$113
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+152.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.7
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$82.24
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.58
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick19cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+300%+$165
Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+203%+$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekicbacked Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.