Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Donna Vekic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65c76118812b6d42d8be5f8b326cf8d4a3ca2f6ae89ce5b97d6f9a985fb3f7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Birrellof Birrell, Vekic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Birrell | 65c | 11,907$7,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Birrell | 49c | 5,799$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Vekic | 41c | 4,703$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.43 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vekic | 57c | 4,343$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.26 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Vekic | 61c | 4,012$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26b…b267backed Vekic | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell | 42c | 3,909$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…4fdbbacked Vekic | 62c | 3,800$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Birrell | 64c | 3,791$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.2 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Vekic | 64c | 3,321$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.87 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…1ff8backed Birrell | 38c | 2,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…bddebacked Birrell | 38c | 2,669$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…1d52backed Birrell | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…6dfbbacked Birrell | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…6594backed Vekic | 36c | 2,118$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…2a37backed Birrell | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…2289backed Vekic | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -81%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Birrell | 41c | 1,719$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.85 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…8207backed Vekic | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vekic | 21c | 1,476$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Vekic | 41c | 1,474$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…180bbacked Vekic | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Vekic | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Vekic | 29c | 1,026$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Vekic | 28c | 745.24$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Birrell | 49c | 572.29$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8486backed Vekic | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Birrell | 61c | 475.41$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Vekic | 29c | 455.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9f…48ebbacked Vekic | 68c | 382.69$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Vekic | 61c | 370$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Vekic | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Vekic | 58c | 346.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Birrell | 38c | 342.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.71 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Birrell | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…433ebacked Birrell | 73c | 263.81$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vekic | 52c | 243.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Birrell | 41c | 240.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Vekic | 55c | 217.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Birrell | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d24…fc91backed Vekic | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Birrell | 37c | 171.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Vekic | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Vekic | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Vekic | 68c | 159.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Vekic | 11c | 159.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Vekic | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Vekic | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Birrell | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Vekic | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Vekic | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Vekic | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Vekic | 60c | 100.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Vekic | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Vekic | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…b905backed Vekic | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…fbb3backed Vekic | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d00ebacked Vekic | 25c | 98.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…e2afbacked Vekic | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…a069backed Vekic | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Birrell | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Vekic | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Vekic | 57c | 75.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…ae2cbacked Vekic | 48c | 72.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Birrell | 38c | 69.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Vekic | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Vekic | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Vekic | 57c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…091abacked Birrell | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…e83dbacked Vekic | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…7663backed Birrell | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…8c8dbacked Vekic | 63c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Vekic | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Vekic | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Vekic | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked Birrell | 66c | 45.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…c524backed Vekic | 70c | 36.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Vekic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Vekic | 60c | 28.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Vekic | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +158%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Vekic | 63c | 18.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.