TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc88d…1da9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Boxing at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT7934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mariano Navonebacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizara Yanevabacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$270.05
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+1,970.8%+$573.98
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tom Gentzsch vs Roman Safiullinbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$206.8
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Ostrava: Zdenek Kolar vs Nerman Faticbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Shymkent: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Dali Blanchbacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Koprivabacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$189.96
Oeiras 4: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Jesper de Jong vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Madrid: Francesca Jones vs Elizabeth Mandlikbacked Elizabeth Mandlik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Emanuel Ivanisevicbacked Emanuel Ivanisevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.36
Zadar: Duje Ajdukovic vs Matej Dodigbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Morelos: Beibit Zhukayev vs Facundo Menabacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Miami Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$328
Austin: Bianca Andreescu vs Emerson Jonesbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$206.46
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Eubank Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$209.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.