TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Varvara Lepchenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Varvara Lepchenkoof Carol Young Suh Lee, Varvara Lepchenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Carol Young Suh Lee24c2,470$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.628,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed Varvara Lepchenko41c1,523$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.823959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Carol Young Suh Lee39c1,105$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked Varvara Lepchenko43c1,001$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.5712750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked Carol Young Suh Lee59c1,001$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.597250%36 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88d…1da9backed Carol Young Suh Lee14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Varvara Lepchenko40c749.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45097141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b9…c1d7backed Carol Young Suh Lee2c625$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Carol Young Suh Lee54c558.13$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.414,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Carol Young Suh Lee57c526.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Varvara Lepchenko41c472.71$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.831,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Varvara Lepchenko42c402.53$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Varvara Lepchenko41c382.21$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2247,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Carol Young Suh Lee61c352.77$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.841,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Varvara Lepchenko43c347.24$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.512,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Carol Young Suh Lee11c304.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.442,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Varvara Lepchenko78c266.38$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.964,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Varvara Lepchenko42c264.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.486,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Carol Young Suh Lee60c255$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15326457.6%152 W · 112 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Carol Young Suh Lee9c247.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.274,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81fd…1cd0backed Carol Young Suh Lee39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.341233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Carol Young Suh Lee60c244$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.425250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Carol Young Suh Lee56c233.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4234047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Varvara Lepchenko49c209.61$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0656754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Varvara Lepchenko38c193.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.383,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Varvara Lepchenko40c186.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.761,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Carol Young Suh Lee55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.324450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Carol Young Suh Lee61c176.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4230258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Carol Young Suh Lee60c164.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.421,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Carol Young Suh Lee60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.621856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Varvara Lepchenko40c148$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Carol Young Suh Lee42c114.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2411041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Carol Young Suh Lee14c105.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.693,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Varvara Lepchenko42c100.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5722049.5%109 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Varvara Lepchenko40c93.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.150259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Varvara Lepchenko42c90.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.721,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Carol Young Suh Lee55c87.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1696844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Carol Young Suh Lee57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7128255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Carol Young Suh Lee26c76.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.821,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Carol Young Suh Lee59c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.251,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Varvara Lepchenko69c74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9457267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Carol Young Suh Lee31c73.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.882,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Varvara Lepchenko59c67.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5526953.2%143 W · 126 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Carol Young Suh Lee58c64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.123429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Carol Young Suh Lee58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb14…9235backed Varvara Lepchenko47c59.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.827146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Carol Young Suh Lee55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.192,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Carol Young Suh Lee55c52.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7924965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Carol Young Suh Lee60c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.284647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Carol Young Suh Lee60c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Varvara Lepchenko42c46.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1946848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Carol Young Suh Lee27c44.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.133,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Carol Young Suh Lee59c44.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9625745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed Carol Young Suh Lee59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7411949.6%59 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e9…48dfbacked Varvara Lepchenko40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Varvara Lepchenko40c35.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4836135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Carol Young Suh Lee55c35.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4737058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Varvara Lepchenko54c34.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.836,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Carol Young Suh Lee60c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5214761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Carol Young Suh Lee60c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.527665.8%50 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Varvara Lepchenko42c29.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.34,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Carol Young Suh Lee59c29.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5652457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Carol Young Suh Lee59c29.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.431358.5%183 W · 130 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Carol Young Suh Lee64c27.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5715146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabb7…9241backed Carol Young Suh Lee61c26.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15554.5%30 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Varvara Lepchenko79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.253060%18 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Varvara Lepchenko42c24.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.042,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Carol Young Suh Lee54c21.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf66…ec24backed Carol Young Suh Lee54c21.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.373842.1%16 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Carol Young Suh Lee60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.913553.3%72 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed Carol Young Suh Lee61c19.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.968741.4%36 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Carol Young Suh Lee60c17.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Varvara Lepchenko78c15.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.435559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Varvara Lepchenko74c13.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.671,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.