TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf66…ec24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Adam Waltonbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.6
Madrid Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Savannah: J.J. Wolf vs Thomas Faurelbacked J.J. Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.93
Shymkent: Bekkhan Atlangeriev vs Viktor Durasovicbacked Viktor Durasovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.94
Madrid Open: Robin Montgomery vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.59
Oeiras 4: Fiona Ferro vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Rome: Jacopo Vasami vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Rome: Kimmer Coppejans vs Filippo Romanobacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaevabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Rome: Remy Bertola vs Filip Jianubacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Rome: Marko Topo vs Cezar Cretubacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Gwangju: Marat Sharipov vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.32
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakinbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Savannah: Kei Nishikori vs Colton Smithbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.9
Savannah: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Galanbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.62
Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinskibacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.16
Oeiras 4: Sofia Costoulas vs Anouk Koevermansbacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Julieta Parejabacked Julieta Pareja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Madrid Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+239.3%+$24.87
Oeiras 4: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.07
Madrid Open, Qualification: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnetbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.46
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.16
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.88
LoL: ZYB Esport vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$49.14
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.05
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.49
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.03
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.98
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twinsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$35.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Evictix vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.