Tennis · resolved market
Savannah: Kei Nishikori vs Colton Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f1dda8b62ca4cc1f56a5e041bd161a6c94d5c4e365c6be016c73a74290c972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kei Nishikoriof Kei Nishikori, Colton Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe51a…c4a3backed Colton Smith | 34c | 11,743$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colton Smith | 15c | 7,050$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 4,426$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.76 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 2,720$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith | 20c | 2,684$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Kei Nishikori | 71c | 2,644$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.38 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Colton Smith | 29c | 2,095$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.95 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Colton Smith | 32c | 1,918$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.88 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Colton Smith | 20c | 1,881$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.23 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colton Smith | 18c | 1,600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…ce4abacked Kei Nishikori | 65c | 1,506$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Colton Smith | 33c | 1,446$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Kei Nishikori | 73c | 1,344$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.65 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kei Nishikori | 69c | 1,320$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.12 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Colton Smith | 32c | 1,199$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kei Nishikori | 72c | 1,135$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.59 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Kei Nishikori | 65c | 1,106$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.18 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Colton Smith | 11c | 1,100$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6608…fc85backed Colton Smith | 34c | 982.09$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kei Nishikori | 77c | 955.67$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colton Smith | 22c | 854.05$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 825.19$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Colton Smith | 31c | 794.15$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Kei Nishikori | 71c | 776.3$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 721.17$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 695.39$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.52 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Kei Nishikori | 71c | 691.98$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Kei Nishikori | 69c | 640.83$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 635.72$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 612.12$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Colton Smith | 6c | 608.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Colton Smith | 33c | 575.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Colton Smith | 20c | 532.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Colton Smith | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Colton Smith | 30c | 479$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Kei Nishikori | 69c | 437.58$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Colton Smith | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Kei Nishikori | 70c | 425.69$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Kei Nishikori | 69c | 419.94$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e7…53fdbacked Kei Nishikori | 70c | 354.01$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Colton Smith | 32c | 320.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Colton Smith | 31c | 313.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…143cbacked Colton Smith | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kei Nishikori | 71c | 308.18$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Kei Nishikori | 67c | 293.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Colton Smith | 33c | 291.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Kei Nishikori | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Kei Nishikori | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kei Nishikori | 65c | 261.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Colton Smith | 7c | 258.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Colton Smith | 32c | 224.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kei Nishikori | 73c | 209.6$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Colton Smith | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Kei Nishikori | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Colton Smith | 26c | 191.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Colton Smith | 29c | 189.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Colton Smith | 30c | 186.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colton Smith | 31c | 186.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 185.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Colton Smith | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Kei Nishikori | 80c | 150.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 150.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Kei Nishikori | 70c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 145$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Colton Smith | 33c | 135.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Colton Smith | 30c | 127.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kei Nishikori | 76c | 123.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kei Nishikori | 70c | 115.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Kei Nishikori | 70c | 111.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 301 | 50.2%151 W · 150 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 111.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…ad95backed Colton Smith | 12c | 110.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…e42abacked Kei Nishikori | 71c | 110.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…2330backed Colton Smith | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Colton Smith | 29c | 106.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Colton Smith | 32c | 99.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Kei Nishikori | 71c | 99.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Colton Smith | 32c | 93.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Kei Nishikori | 70c | 92.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…54c2backed Colton Smith | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Colton Smith | 20c | 78.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Colton Smith | 18c | 77.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 370 | 58.6%217 W · 153 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Colton Smith | 30c | 71.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Kei Nishikori | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Colton Smith | 29c | 69.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Colton Smith | 31c | 68.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Colton Smith | 29c | 67.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Kei Nishikori | 70c | 63.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Colton Smith | 36c | 62.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 60.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Colton Smith | 30c | 60.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 60.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Colton Smith | 27c | 60.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Colton Smith | 26c | 56.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Kei Nishikori | 69c | 54.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed Kei Nishikori | 74c | 53.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…bbc1backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 51.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colton Smith | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Colton Smith | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Colton Smith | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Savannah: Kei Nishikori vs Colton Smiththis page
- Kei Nishikori vs. Colton Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Nishikori vs. Smith: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Nishikori vs SmithNishikori won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.